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Nomz

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Everything posted by Nomz

  1. I think Richmond and south probably have a right to be worried about mixing, just as DC and north have a right to be worried about the storm being too far south. I wouldn't come close to betting on either scenario happening, though.
  2. All I will say for the 18z suite is that the GFS is a hilarious model that should probably not be trusted outside of 72 hours
  3. I do a forecast for my school, I was wondering what y'all think is a reasonable range to forecast for tonight? I'll wait for the 18z suite but I'm thinking probably 4-8 for now? I want to suggest significant accumulation but keep a lid on it for now.
  4. Yeah GEFS is a lot closer to "normal" than the absolute catastrophe that was GFS
  5. Except the 00z runs last night, GFS and fam have been pretty consistent keeping this towards the south area of our sub
  6. ICON is done with us at about 6am monday. Here's the kuchera map
  7. H132 on the 12z ICON is just a nuke
  8. Icon printing just a ton of freezing rain down south
  9. Yeah maybe like 20 minutes slow. 00z icon was through the event at like 10:20pm last night.
  10. We'll point at models, they'll point at synoptics and everyone will weenie-out
  11. Not really a big bomb setup so we don’t have a blazing 850mb jet. Maybe 10kt or so.
  12. Some place, not sure where, is gonna get absolutely smoked by this thing down south. Could be arkansas, could be south carolina.
  13. I’d like for models to work their way a little north today but I’m just feeling greedy. I’ll take the 1 inch qpf in DC at 10:1+ ratios
  14. Euro AIFS south of 12z but north of 18z
  15. Surely someone has the goddamn snow maps for ukmet i need to see em
  16. Which site are you guys using for UKMET maps, PW doesn't have them
  17. Is the GDPS the same thing as the GEM?
  18. The GDPS sucks and should hold nearly zero weight but its probably a bullseye for MD/DC
  19. We turn our eyes to the Goofy Forecasting System
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