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GreyHat

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  1. GreyHat
    I mentioned this before as the other day the GFS showed the system going south and OTS. Those runs showed the system coming down from Canada which maybe a reason. I say that because the GFS 18z run the other day didn't show the system coming down from Canada and so the system came west to east and we got snow. Now the GFS is showing that system again coming down from Canada.
  2. GreyHat
    Yeah, I agree. We are still have icy roads in the development and the back roads to work from Delaware to the main road are still hazardous. That's mainly due to the sun not shining on them, so the material the road department puts down will take time. You can walk on the snow and quite funny watching the beagle try run down a rabbit as they slide across.
  3. GreyHat
    Minor event would be okay. We've had a couple minor events this winter overe here and this moderate one that gave us all this ice. I'll watch the models but with that positive trough and that system coming out of Canada may push it away from us. Again until the systems are sampled Sunday or Monday you can't rule anything out yet.
  4. GreyHat
    Not me, just what we see right now. The forecasters are saying, over here we should see a dusting. Off topic I was going deer hunting unrill I saw the winds and wind chills being forecasted.
  5. GreyHat
    It was never ours since the GFS has shown it from the beginning to be weak and OTS in both 6z & 12z yesterday. I wander if the system coming out of western Canada has anything to do with it.
  6. GreyHat
    Of course both GFS and AIGFS 6z show positive tilt and weak low, plus the L coming out of Canada. The good thing is our area is in the mid 30s M - F before dipping back below 32F. That will help get the ice off the roads over in our area.
  7. GreyHat
    Maybe follow 6z & 12z GFS, does it show the system coming down out of Canada? What do you say the 6z and 12z GFS says OTS? The 18z shows L coming east with snow. The only thing I see different between the 3 is the L pressure coming out of Canada keeps the 6z & 12z south, 18z doesn't show it till later in the which allows the system not to go south and OTS. If that system comes out of Canada as depicted in the earlier runs wouldn't it stay south?
  8. GreyHat
    Unfortunately that seems to be what we're looking at cold and dry. At least next week being in the mid 30s will help melt this ice we have. MD2 in Arnold has had bobcats digging one of the lanes out around College Parkway. There are only 2 lanes.
  9. GreyHat
    It looked like the next couple systems get pushed OTS by the northern systems. Our area will be in the middle 30s Monday- Friday of next week before staying below freezing again. That's perfect our long range forecast.
  10. GreyHat
    The 18z is also stronger, if that helps.
  11. GreyHat
    Off topic the Bay at the bay bridge. On my way to work this morning. Looking towards Baltimore and looking south. The shopping lanes are not frozen yet.
  12. GreyHat
    Off topic, how cold is it? This is the up in the inlet at Johnathan Landing Magnolia Delaware. No boats going out for awhile.
  13. GreyHat
    Anything is possible as it took a step in the right direction or at least the precip is more in land compared to 00z. I personally still think Thursday is the make or break like the last storm.
  14. GreyHat
    Here's 00z and 18z
  15. GreyHat
    How about wxdisco board? Used to be free.
  16. GreyHat
    I suggested Thursday depending on sampling
  17. GreyHat
    In the news
  18. GreyHat
    Thursday
  19. GreyHat
    Actually someone did post the big hit on Facebook already.
  20. GreyHat
    No one does, but this last storm showed big hits lots of snow for the area. Once data start getting injested things changed from big snows to a lot of sleet and freezing rain. What did the models for this storm? Something this far out big hits of snow and now moving to more ENE. Just my observation
  21. GreyHat
    Thursday will be the day just like the past storm. Data gets injested and things go from good to worse.
  22. GreyHat
    Yeah, notification went out from Delmarva Power that more outages may happen due to heavy ice on trees and limbs falling on wires. The back roads (peachtree rd) were 4" of ice and we saw limbs down from pine trees.
  23. GreyHat
    Good map, couldn't tell you what we got since that .42" of freezing rain on top of hours of sleet.
  24. GreyHat
    Personally I wouldn't be mad if it misses us. Just notified by Delmarva Power about more outages due to heavy ice on trees and strong winds as trees have come down.
  25. GreyHat
    Weaker Storm was modeled 977 and 1006.
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