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TalcottWx

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Everything posted by TalcottWx

  1. Now this would be a relative disappointment. We hope the 12z euro is on shrooms.
  2. It's certainly a concern that euro showed that at 12z. I am trying to keep an eye on the big picture tho. The original blockbuster runs should probably be viewed under the same lens as this scraper outcome today. It's just a single run and I will not be concerned (or vice versa when it showed the bomb) until a trend develops. Right now there is an undeniable trend away from a massive storm tho, toward a more down to earth solution. That is true. With that being said, it would not be wise to overreact to this single run. Stick with the ensembles at the time frame. It's just far too early to be concerned considering the modeling showing plowable snow for the last few days. I'm sticking with the idea of widespread significant snow until we get more runs in. Sticking with consistency until we know more.
  3. I totally disagree in this terrible winter people should be happy we're getting plowable snow, don't know what to tell you on this one. We had a few runs go bezerk over 130+ hours out. There should be no investment in a model outcome at that time frame. It was never a completely viable outcome. It showed a historic blizzard at far too early a time frame, not sure how it can be a disappointment.
  4. If you're just joining us, and you're confused by the complete and utter stupidity in here, this storm still looks good. Plowable snow likely for many. Unfortunately some of the loudest in the room have been adding very little value to this analysis thread. Would be nice if they perhaps read, digested, and learned from our Mets and best amateur forecasters. Instead we are continuing to get emotionally driven sh*posting.
  5. We have a 6-12" storm likely coming. Please stop. Please.
  6. 6-12" still on the table for many, a major impact snowfall. Not historic, but stuff it if you're disappointed. Still a period of time here where we can trend snowier. We'll see what happens.
  7. Not one piece of model guidance is showing that. We really need to cut down on posts that are completely and unquestionably wrong. The confusion it causes gets old. Do better
  8. It appears that euro and gfs both have mid levels that never quite get cranking in time for Southern NE. Obviously a pretty good widespread snowfall regardless. We'd like to see mid levels improve back to what they were about a day ago to really cash in on big amounts. That capture and crawl off the coast of Sne isn't there overnight.
  9. OK, you're off the third shift. I'm up for work. Get some zzz!
  10. Mid level trend has been south at least I think. Encouraging.
  11. My early guess for highest totals would be ray to rt 2 south into orh and metro west.
  12. That's sorta the thought behind it tho. nao makes me favor more confluence.
  13. Our station (wfsb) just added 2/28 into the 7 day as an early warning wx alert. Just means that there is enough of a threat to sound bells with the general public. One step closer.
  14. First time ever published in print. New York Hockey Journal!
  15. We're gonna get crushed. Glad all the weenies could be here for the ride. Hail George.
  16. How did you get to this psychological low where your personality revolves around being insufferable toward others? I envision you locked in moms basement with a ton of body odor and mountain dew.
  17. Ice is beautiful until the power goes out. This is the most ice I've ever seen in my life lol. We don't get it much in Boston, duh. Very cool.
  18. A major storm in terms of impact in a single winter, I would argue.
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