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TalcottWx

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Everything posted by TalcottWx

  1. TalcottWx
    The warm SSTs are great but will do no good if it stalls and lingers
  2. TalcottWx
    Seems dumb to let your guard down on this one already- this far out
  3. TalcottWx
    Just keep in mind of the rain impacts this will have in addition to king tides. Track isn't the only story.
  4. TalcottWx
    Mid and long range, use the ensembles. Best advice anyone can give you.
  5. TalcottWx
    Another terrible severe warning from BOX. Do they have the ability to loop base velocity and see how putrid their warnings are?
  6. TalcottWx
    Like I said earlier- we know it will come close. All depends on blocking after it gets near Carolina
  7. TalcottWx
    I think it tickles Carolinas as you say- but after that, we need some days to work out this very unique blocking.
  8. TalcottWx
    Shocked to see how favorable the environment is in the next few days following this shear. It's basically got all the space in the world to regain strength afterwards and record warm SST's in front of her.
  9. TalcottWx
    Everything about this is anomalous. But then again, the grand scheme of things, imagine the incredible amount of storms and untracked hurricanes before science and technology. Anyway... This is another similar type of weird track we might see. Similar to Felix. Great comparison.
  10. TalcottWx
    Yup, that is what I would favor. That building WAR will force Florence to track close to the coast. The west track makes no sense. Steering will turn her north after she hits the western fringe of the HP. It's all about the strength of blocking over Canada. Would sort of look something funky like this.
  11. TalcottWx
    What was the storm that tracked east of hatteras and then stalled and took a hard turn right? Edouard is a decent comp but I'm favoring this storm I can't remember the name of.
  12. TalcottWx
    With the ridge as currently forecasted, that seems like most plausible track. No reason to cause panic or sound alarms yet. It's going to track close off the coast of the US, it could still take a track that recurves it after a stall near the coast.
  13. TalcottWx
    To me, this is either a stall and recurve off mid atlantic with some noreaster like effects, or a swing anywhere from NJ to ME. Don't see the direct shot west as plausible.
  14. TalcottWx
    Reading a lot of posts to pump the brakes in various places. It's just really concerning to see steering track like that. And heights have trended stronger. It's concerning from Carolina to Maine. Worrysome for Bermuda.
  15. TalcottWx
    I've been MIA for summer, Florence has awakened me. I imagine this one is already a week into discussion. But lord almighty, that's a eyebrow raising run of recent models. Does the machine finally break through our long climatological hurricane drought?
  16. TalcottWx
    Nice temps to drink beahs on my deck
  17. TalcottWx
    All that means is drinking on the deck is comfortable as hell!
  18. TalcottWx
    97/69 at Logan
  19. TalcottWx
    Most of the hottest days we seabreeze, soooo
  20. TalcottWx
    You guys crack me up. I gave them my 40 and 3 cone shuttle
  21. TalcottWx
    I applied to NWS to become Logan's official spotter. Not sure my schedule will work. I imagine a retiree is much more up their alley for a role like this.
  22. TalcottWx
    Bright sunshine and humid here until now. Great timing and directions for storms along and south of mass border. Opposite of all summer's rain.
  23. TalcottWx
    I know first hand it wasn't! Where did you play? I feel like we definitely had this talk four years ago
  24. TalcottWx
    Baltimore like..
  25. TalcottWx
    Bright sunshine here and not a drop in Dorchester unfortunately.
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