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TalcottWx

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Everything posted by TalcottWx

  1. If one looked at the radar, or vis sat, you'd think not much for eastern portions. But if you look at some of the mesoanalysis and upper level stuff, certainly looks like there will be heavy rain even in east this evening. Better forcing should move in.
  2. I'd really love to get one of these storms. Looks like the Providence to Boston force field is fully operational right now.
  3. They would gave a serious shot at winning the entire thing!
  4. Most of my fellow millenials have the maturity of a 16 y/o, you're right though haha
  5. Absolutely beautiful in Provincetown. Let the jokes commence
  6. Doesn't the position of the ridge lend itself to having a surface direction somewhat off the water no matter what with a situation like that? Even if winds are weak it will be onshore. If you get stiff winds, almost always S or SW with a big ridge that boasts solid CAPE? Of course it differs with the WAR location. You can have the CAPE but it seems like there is definitely some ultra small scale aspect of this that inhibits thunderstorm/cu growth
  7. I refer back to some of Tip's long posts about the 'marine infested layer' that seems to manifest itself on the south and southwest wind directions. Often resulting in a easily distinguished evaporation of cu growth in our severe events. I'm still hoping we see an elevated event with second by second lightning at some point this winter.
  8. A bit of splitting hairs though. That ridging and subsidence is sort of what I mean in regards to wind direction. That's what put them in dry spot in first place. Sort of same thing
  9. Wind direction has been brutal to maintain anything surface based. Providence to Boston is that fringe area that can benefit from seabreeze collapse. We need synoptic rain or a unidirectional event. Or elevated or something from you.
  10. Warning is for 60mph winds, large hail, and says expect damage...
  11. Looks like a severe warning in which 5% of its area will actually be affected. Just bad.
  12. Needham Norwood might get some wind. It's hugging the Seabreeze.
  13. Do they? I have no idea. I guess come on NWS lol. Would explain why they pulled trigger. Looks like it might train over BOS Metro. Probably see a FFW warning soon.
  14. Outflow clearly outpacing line. Entering cinh laced area. Core collapsed on base velocity. So predictable. Why would you warn..
  15. Man, come on BOX. You're better than this warning. It's the wrong side of the boundary. There's not going to be any severe. Watch this fall apart within 128. This is why people ignore warnings.
  16. Yessir. They were literally installing as strike started.
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