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WeatherGeek2025

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Everything posted by WeatherGeek2025

  1. nam is getting discontinued for a reason it hasn't hit a home run since January 26th 2016
  2. Next Friday couple be a redo of tomorrow night. Definitely has potential from that wave coming down with the arctic front!
  3. i think the snow moves in after 7 even in that area. They should be good... safe flight and Merry Christmas
  4. you never know if start using the mesoscale models as of this evening!
  5. it's dynamic... not strong but dynamic as the elevation drop seems to help the precipitation dynamics if you will. Normally you would see this shred from the poconos but i do want to say this i have yet to see a storm like this behave the way this one is modeled. Also maybe climate change will climatically change our storm tracks and its dynamics!
  6. but this isn't a SWFE storm it's a NWFE (North west flow event)
  7. guys calm down we're getting a big hit. Merry Christmas
  8. Id take global guidance at this time until about tomorrow this time. Than we pay attention to Rgem, Nam, HRRR, etc.
  9. do we have consensus here? it seems like a 4-8 inch snow is on the table if we get these good ratios we could be looking at 6-10 for the city
  10. I wouldn't be surprised if temperatures dropped to low 20's with those dynamics! saturday morning will look and feel like north pole
  11. we need the GFS run to verify that's literally as good as it's going to get for this storm
  12. what's your reasoning? most models including gfs have all the lows scoot way south of us and it's going to be way colder
  13. i guess that would be the ceiling @Stormlover74great to see. perfect track
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