wthrmn654

Do quick Google search and it's amazing how many results give explanations why it's so warm there.

Big waves today 36mph so far out here

If/ when the WAR pushs westward does that potential setup greatly increase for possible tropical systems to come up the coast then?

They should issue dangerous flying umbrella warnings today!

With the big question still being , but when...

Latest 2 temperature outlooks have below normal temps for us in the next 6-10,8-14 and even the 3-4 week period, though that's equal chance. Interesting

And bam like that all the storms are essentially gone on the island

The south fork, Hamptons is being hit but the north fork is not. Shelter Island is literally the dividing line.

Storms firing up like crazy now

82 and dew of 69 was 71 earlier

78 with a dew of 69, feels like 78.3

Newark is a mini desert

And it's rainy Saturday after all, didn't expect to see that.

Down to 75 with winds up to 35 mph.

Eeked out an 82 today but now it's blowing 22 mphs

Down to 80 now, with high dew point

Temperate dropped a bit, wind started cranking

That's one thing I thought was odd with the heat, was that it would have strong winds along with it

Didn't get as warm as I thought it would today.

Nam slowed down a bit. Nws pointed that out. But it doesn't have any support at this point.

So how well does the nam do in terms of timing say fronts during the summer months?

If I'm not mistaken some models showed a few heat events long term well or so ago then they basically all vanished again.. temperatures are normal to just above normal it seems long term wise.

Does appear the long term discussion was updated later on. .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... -- Changed Discussion -- Friday should be the warmest of the days in the forecast period as the area sits underneath a passing upper level ridge, with H8 temps approaching 19C. This should support high temps reaching at least the lower and mid 90s from NYC north/west and across the interior CT river valley, with 80s elsewhere. Dewpoints will be high enough to take the max heat index into the mid 90s across much of the NYC metro area and especially NE NJ for just one day. With the ridge moving east and presence of a weak lee trough to the west, expect sct showers/tstms to develop over ern PA and move E toward western portions of the area during the late afternoon and early evening, then become more widespread late Fri night into Sat morning with the approach of a cold front, and as heights aloft fall E of the departing ridge and on the S periphery of a deep closed low Ontario and Quebec and centered near James Bay. Sat has some potential for tstms with severe wx and localized flooding given a potentially unstable air mass with steep low level lapse rates ahead of an approaching cold front, bulk 0-6 km shear of 35-40 kt, and PW increasing to near 2 inches. Deep moisture may be pulling out to the S in the afternoon as instability maximizes, which may favor severe wx over flooding or take the main threat just south of the area, but it still too early to know for certain. The front should sink to the south Sat night into Sunday morning, with mainly dry wx returning by Sunday afternoon and lasting into Monday (Independence Day). The front will remain not too far off to the south, with precip chances returning from Mon night into the mid week period as weak disturbances move along it. -- End Changed Discussion --

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