Baum

they hit December spot on when a lot of folks were calling for cold. Kudos to Chi storm also as while it was a bit delayed, which isn't unusual our Indian Summer is glorious.

it was just a  matter of updating my avatar.

Probably the wrong thread, and not a troll as I'd love a snowstorm, but not freezing my azz off with a bit of sun while getting the Christmas cheer accomplished isn't depressing me to bad. Winter will come soon enough, and hopefully it's gone by the end of March this year.

3 hours ago, Hoosier said:

You are probably going to want to be north for what happens around the 25th-26th.  Hopefully it gets better for more of the region after that. 

a bit tongue and cheek on my part. December's story was written when trick or treaters need snow shovels to get around. Now I hope for a flip around the new year to real winter weather.

5 hours ago, Hoosier said:

There is a good storm signal about a week and a half from now.  Could be pretty big for somebody.  Whether it happens in time for Christmas is questionable.  

2 hours ago, RCNYILWX said:

The ensembles don't look half bad for the end of the month with both the EPS and GEFS in agreement on a -EPO/-PNA alignment. Obviously far enough out/subject to change and no guarantee of a spread the wealth snowy stretch, but reasons to be cautiously optimistic if we can get that look inside 10 days.

 

 

 

 

 

 

There's my Christmas week snowstorm.

actually surprised to see a forecast for an inch. I figured shut out.

7 hours ago, Cary67 said:

Your welcome

all good. That's the fun of this board to have a healthy debate regarding storms, patterns, and modeling. You and me should have a fun winter.  I love a good troll job as good as the next guy. Now go hit the OV peeps on WX disco over the 20 mile fluctuation that will occur with the main snow band. And again, I'll point out a 4-7 " snowfall in StlLouis and Indy is no way to run a mid December mild pattern. 

5 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

You mean the pre-Christmas warm up.
 

Probably, but I'll argue this warm pattern is overplayed. Let's not lose sight of the fact St. Louis is about to get a decent snow event unseen about 7 days ago. 

59 minutes ago, pondo1000 said:

If Chicago isn’t in the game, these threads always die off. 

yep. I've moved onto the Christmas day snowstorm. 

commentary on the 00Z NAM step in the right direction. Who knew...I'll take a Halloween redux and be thrilled

I like where i sit.

^

or DAB Cary, Ill to 4" Griffith, Ind.

LOT being aggressive calling for several inches of accumulation (possible) in grids monday which is 72 hours out. Could just very easily go with a blended pops chance of snow this far out, and see how the model madness plays out. Rereading I guess it doesn't hurt to add in potential accumulation possibilities...

1 hour ago, Cary67 said:

Most of the modeling Im seeing shows the OP GFS the northern outlier and even its 6Z run ticked south. GEFS members mostly further south of OP along with CMC, EPS. Ukie came north to join CMC and Euro  Paints an I70 storm more than I80 especially up by Chicago and points north.Also if the EPS is to be believed holiday week looks Chistorm mild

I'm looking more for trends of a decent storm somewhere in the forum. Doesn't necessarily have to be northern Illinois.

^

most likely. Though from some  of the info I'm hearing  this A.M. there was a fairly decent shift in a number of  the euro ensembles in the direction of the GFS.

quite the range of posts in this thread. All within the past 24 hours. 

Is this the year Mr. Freeze get's to let it snow in Southtown and the heat meiser gets to let it rain and fog in the North Pole? 

gone.

looking less and less like this is a repeat of last December...which is a good thing. Chistorm called for a warmer period basically from the late November through first week of December period. Which was a period many had as cold and stormy with a return of the early November chill. Call made in early November. Models wavered back and forth and he stuck to his guns. Good call. 

what's TWC?

things seem a bit more optimistic today. 

A mild December with below average snowfall. Ugh.

^

did he mention two snowstorms before Thanksgiving equals disaster(in terms of snow lovers)?

Cutter heaven for sure right on time for Thanksgiving week...unfortunately if you took the GFS verbatim many are on the wrong side of those cuts...which is probably the norm for late November... 

4 hours ago, RCNYILWX said:

And then the Euro completely backed off lol

Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
 

Let's see what the 18Z Euro shows.