GramaxRefugee

46 will be my low. DP 45

Looks like I'll have 0.19" for today.

57f now.

Not much blue sky here for the morning. But it has the look of impending clearing.

59f for my low. 

30 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

 

Ugh. Now you really are talking cringe-worthy.

33 minutes ago, RIC_WX said:

It snowed on thanksgiving.  89-90 maybe the most front loaded winter of the past 50 years. 

I can't entirely imagine a 2021 version of this to be nearly as interesting.

Checking the front loaded 1989 at locations that just had the ultra-cold Feb 2021....Tyler, TX (e.g.) hit 97f on 10-3-89 but finished October as normal. Went on to record a very cold Christmas with lows of 9, 0, 1, & 14; from 12-22 to 12-25. Daily departure of -39 on 12-23. Monthly departure of -9.5.  Very cold for east TX.
I'm starting to think these guys selling the December-to-remember are looking better and better.

31 minutes ago, IronTy said:

But was it a -PNA that year?   

Today's LWX AFD is mentioning these record numbers for Friday:
DCA - 87 in 1975
BWI - 86 in 1989
IAD - 88 in 1989
I think we don't get anywhere close to these, but wanted to note that October 1989 led to the coldest December ever recorded. Departure of -14.6 at IAD; -13.2 at BWI. Second coldest in Balto was in 1876, (departure -11.3). 12 of the December record min temps at IAD were set in 1989. 

I see there are a lot of October rain-complainers around. But, I was noticing last night, when I emptied the 0.02" total from the gauge, that I've had almost no rain this month. Not worried though. (yet)

Low of 63f this morning, and overcast.

14 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

I saw a chart earlier today on Twitter, but can’t find it now on my phone, showing that most of the Top 10 warmest October’s in the CONUS were during Ninas.

These 3 stick out, if it helps any. (Meaning, I don't know how big of a nina each year was. Someone may know.)
2007...63.6f
1984...61.8f
1971...61.4f

avg of 56.6f
all at IAD

The 1971 led to a warm Dec+Jan, but cold snowy Feb.

1985 led to a record cold spell in Jan

2007 led to pathetic, don't ask.

62 for the low this morning.

67f the low.

21 hours ago, Mr. Kevin said:

So do you expect the wpo overall to be more negative this winter compared to last winter? Like you mentioned, it was negative in October and then it flipped to positive for rest of winter. If we are going to have a -pdo, we dont want a pronounced laniña of any kind this winter. Correct? In my area, other than about a week to 10 days in February, it really wasn't cold. I think the -nao we had was too much east based

If your listed location is still Arkansas....You have a rather bland way of referring to the 4th coldest February on record, coldest since 1978, monthly departure -10f +/- depending on exact station.
Not complaining, (especially with all the hype that runs around these days). But, should be considered for the sake of our analysis.

https://www.weather.gov/lzk/clmfeb2021b.htm

Finished the month with 3.57"

Highest 89f.........Lowest 50f 

Low of 49f

DCA: 11/10

IAD: 10/30

BWI: 11/09

RIC: 11/09

Tiebreaker: 1.08"

50 for my low...

DP was 49 but will have to check when I get home whether the temp ever broke into the 40s. (Not a big deal for many of you to be in the 40s, but my location is slow to cool down in Fall.)

2 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

So...how many consecutive years before we talk about this being a mainstay? 

The "D" stands for Decadal. ...(for the simple answer.)

This isn't bad:      https://www.daculaweather.com/4_pdo_index.php

1 hour ago, frd said:

Something has broken the horrible 4 year streak, may portend to be a positive moving deeper into the fall for the lower lattitudes.  Still a Nina, but might be atypical in outcomes. 

 

 

 

They seem to be forecast to do it again tonight, for a total of 4, should it verify.

1 hour ago, frd said:

  Hard to get excited about any meaningful winter weather since the super El Nino reset.  Even blocking doesn't work anymore.  Less cold air to work with and less baroclinic boundaries .

Do you mean the 1998 El Nino? Some of our snowiest winters have been since then. Also our coldest February on record. (2015)  Snowiest winter on record too (2009-10).  

8 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

So let's look at how those winters turned out for snow overall, and how those Januarys' looked for snow:        

2018-19: 18.3" Jan: 7.9"     Jan avg temp 33.5  (-0.8)

2003-04: 18.3"  Jan: 8.4"    Jan avg temp 27.6    (-6.7)    

2001-02: 2.3"  Jan: T           Jan avg temp 39.1     (+4.8)      

2000-01: 8.7"  Jan: 3.7"          Jan avg temp 33.1     (-0.2)  

1998-99: 15.2" Jan: 4.0"         Jan avg temp 35.1    (+0.8)    

1997-98: 3.2"   Jan: 0.7"        Jan avg temp 40.9     (+6.6)   

1987-88: 20.4" Jan: 13.7"      Jan avg temp 28.7      (-5.6)   

1968-69: 18.6"  Jan: 0.1"         Jan avg temp 31.7    (-2.6)   

1960-61: 46.5" Jan: 14.3"       Jan avg temp 27.6  (-6.7)

So do SSWs have any correlation? I'd like to see a full list of winters that had them in January or February as well. But for the December ones it's kinda hard to tell...but no blockbusters others than 60-61 (that epic decade for snow, lol)

I tried to add the January temps to your post. Hard to get excited about that group with some equally large warm departures. Using BWI normal of 34.3. 

Not sure what to make of it otherwise.

edit: Looks like you have to click the expand button to see them all.

52/51

3 minutes ago, Bodhi Cove said:

All the piers in the area are under water.The only good thing about that is you can spot the deck boards that need new screws.

South River higher than it's been in a long time too. No road flooding though. (I cross at MD 450)

Only about 0.65" when I left the house, but raining steady since. (since midnight) Windy rain.

temp/DP...74/74 f

11 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I used the NOAA solar calculator to find it as best I could. If I am using the calculator correctly, the direct rays of the sun will cross the equator at lat O (obviously lol) and -136.93359 long. This is in the pacific about halfway between Hawaii and San Francisco, on the equator 

I'm afraid I'm not too impressed with this, but here you are. You're gonna need a bigger boat....

1 hour ago, Cobalt said:

DCA having the highest negative anomaly is pretty odd, especially when considering how lacking their cold mins were. 

Cobalt is right, especially looking at their lowest claimed temp as 25f.  But, looking at the monthly, only 10 days have positive departure on the avg temp.  Eh, the place is weird.

1 hour ago, StormchaserChuck! said:

1 year after a cold February/warm February

 

 

Seems like a weird parameter that I'm not familiar with, but just trying to stay positive... , So for the record....It looks like Feb 2021 was :
-0.8 BWI

-1.0 IAD

-2.2 DCA