GramaxRefugee

Today's LWX AFD is mentioning these record numbers for Friday:
DCA - 87 in 1975
BWI - 86 in 1989
IAD - 88 in 1989
I think we don't get anywhere close to these, but wanted to note that October 1989 led to the coldest December ever recorded. Departure of -14.6 at IAD; -13.2 at BWI. Second coldest in Balto was in 1876, (departure -11.3). 12 of the December record min temps at IAD were set in 1989. 

I see there are a lot of October rain-complainers around. But, I was noticing last night, when I emptied the 0.02" total from the gauge, that I've had almost no rain this month. Not worried though. (yet)

Low of 63f this morning, and overcast.

14 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

I saw a chart earlier today on Twitter, but can’t find it now on my phone, showing that most of the Top 10 warmest October’s in the CONUS were during Ninas.

These 3 stick out, if it helps any. (Meaning, I don't know how big of a nina each year was. Someone may know.)
2007...63.6f
1984...61.8f
1971...61.4f

avg of 56.6f
all at IAD

The 1971 led to a warm Dec+Jan, but cold snowy Feb.

1985 led to a record cold spell in Jan

2007 led to pathetic, don't ask.

62 for the low this morning.

67f the low.

21 hours ago, Mr. Kevin said:

So do you expect the wpo overall to be more negative this winter compared to last winter? Like you mentioned, it was negative in October and then it flipped to positive for rest of winter. If we are going to have a -pdo, we dont want a pronounced laniña of any kind this winter. Correct? In my area, other than about a week to 10 days in February, it really wasn't cold. I think the -nao we had was too much east based

If your listed location is still Arkansas....You have a rather bland way of referring to the 4th coldest February on record, coldest since 1978, monthly departure -10f +/- depending on exact station.
Not complaining, (especially with all the hype that runs around these days). But, should be considered for the sake of our analysis.

https://www.weather.gov/lzk/clmfeb2021b.htm

Finished the month with 3.57"

Highest 89f.........Lowest 50f 

Low of 49f

DCA: 11/10

IAD: 10/30

BWI: 11/09

RIC: 11/09

Tiebreaker: 1.08"

50 for my low...

DP was 49 but will have to check when I get home whether the temp ever broke into the 40s. (Not a big deal for many of you to be in the 40s, but my location is slow to cool down in Fall.)

2 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

So...how many consecutive years before we talk about this being a mainstay? 

The "D" stands for Decadal. ...(for the simple answer.)

This isn't bad:      https://www.daculaweather.com/4_pdo_index.php

1 hour ago, frd said:

Something has broken the horrible 4 year streak, may portend to be a positive moving deeper into the fall for the lower lattitudes.  Still a Nina, but might be atypical in outcomes. 

 

 

 

They seem to be forecast to do it again tonight, for a total of 4, should it verify.

1 hour ago, frd said:

  Hard to get excited about any meaningful winter weather since the super El Nino reset.  Even blocking doesn't work anymore.  Less cold air to work with and less baroclinic boundaries .

Do you mean the 1998 El Nino? Some of our snowiest winters have been since then. Also our coldest February on record. (2015)  Snowiest winter on record too (2009-10).  

8 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

So let's look at how those winters turned out for snow overall, and how those Januarys' looked for snow:        

2018-19: 18.3" Jan: 7.9"     Jan avg temp 33.5  (-0.8)

2003-04: 18.3"  Jan: 8.4"    Jan avg temp 27.6    (-6.7)    

2001-02: 2.3"  Jan: T           Jan avg temp 39.1     (+4.8)      

2000-01: 8.7"  Jan: 3.7"          Jan avg temp 33.1     (-0.2)  

1998-99: 15.2" Jan: 4.0"         Jan avg temp 35.1    (+0.8)    

1997-98: 3.2"   Jan: 0.7"        Jan avg temp 40.9     (+6.6)   

1987-88: 20.4" Jan: 13.7"      Jan avg temp 28.7      (-5.6)   

1968-69: 18.6"  Jan: 0.1"         Jan avg temp 31.7    (-2.6)   

1960-61: 46.5" Jan: 14.3"       Jan avg temp 27.6  (-6.7)

So do SSWs have any correlation? I'd like to see a full list of winters that had them in January or February as well. But for the December ones it's kinda hard to tell...but no blockbusters others than 60-61 (that epic decade for snow, lol)

I tried to add the January temps to your post. Hard to get excited about that group with some equally large warm departures. Using BWI normal of 34.3. 

Not sure what to make of it otherwise.

edit: Looks like you have to click the expand button to see them all.

52/51

3 minutes ago, Bodhi Cove said:

All the piers in the area are under water.The only good thing about that is you can spot the deck boards that need new screws.

South River higher than it's been in a long time too. No road flooding though. (I cross at MD 450)

Only about 0.65" when I left the house, but raining steady since. (since midnight) Windy rain.

temp/DP...74/74 f

11 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I used the NOAA solar calculator to find it as best I could. If I am using the calculator correctly, the direct rays of the sun will cross the equator at lat O (obviously lol) and -136.93359 long. This is in the pacific about halfway between Hawaii and San Francisco, on the equator 

I'm afraid I'm not too impressed with this, but here you are. You're gonna need a bigger boat....

1 hour ago, Cobalt said:

DCA having the highest negative anomaly is pretty odd, especially when considering how lacking their cold mins were. 

Cobalt is right, especially looking at their lowest claimed temp as 25f.  But, looking at the monthly, only 10 days have positive departure on the avg temp.  Eh, the place is weird.

1 hour ago, StormchaserChuck! said:

1 year after a cold February/warm February

 

 

Seems like a weird parameter that I'm not familiar with, but just trying to stay positive... , So for the record....It looks like Feb 2021 was :
-0.8 BWI

-1.0 IAD

-2.2 DCA

Early acorn drop at my little oak forest. Got to wonder if this is related to the cicada invasion, because the trees have really suffered flagging, (as it seems to be called), of twigs and dead leaves everywhere. It was not this bad 17 years ago, but I don't recall what the acorn situation was then anyway. Was wondering if anyone else has noticed the acorns. According to the cicada thread, the flagging is bad for oaks region-wide. 

3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

.... Also learned nothing of any real world value.  

...

Oh, I'm so surprised. 

Snowen, the fact that you make this statement shows you're already ahead of the game. Keep it up. And, IMO,  the artwork doesn't look so bad at all.

Low of 57

Missed almost everything yesterday and overnight, (a few sprinkles).  Now getting some gentle, steady rain for the morning.  

12 hours ago, Stormfly said:

Sept 1983 had some big heat.

83-84 winter was decent.  I'd take it again.  BUT!  there was some bitter cold too that I could do without.  Anyone remember the days with carbureted cars (and manual choke!) you'd have put "dry gas" or "heet" in the tank or risk dreaded gas line freeze, the Watusi jack rabbit start and surging that makes you look like you're just learning to drive stick!  That combined on hilly roads full of patchy ice certainly made things interesting.

Coldest Christmas Day on record in Balto. Zero for the min and 12f for the lomax. 

Reloaded a month later and IAD recorded lowest temp ever at -18f on 1/22/84 .   I believe we had -12f in HoCo, but I'm going by memory, I've lost the written record from those days (I think).

ETA:  OK, now that you've made me dust off the record book (Balto)....I see that hot Sept 1983 set 5 record high max days: the 6, 10, 11, 19, and 20th.  The 11th was hottest at 100f. No other year set so many record temps in the month. 

14 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Almost 2 

(We tease because we love)

IAD was 0.7, which is half of 1.4, so there's that I suppose. And those are the only ones I have readily available. But it just reinforces our idea that BWI is slightly broken, as I think most of us have noticed.