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anthonymm

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Everything posted by anthonymm

  1. Just too much water in the atmosphere. Many of our problems would go away if we just had less water vapor lying around.
  2. We used to get overnight lows in the 60s, even in midsummer. That literally NEVER happens now and thats frankly insane.
  3. Well if you are one of the 8+ million people that live in new york city proper, or the surrounding urban areas like Jersey City and Hoboken, you never get a nice refreshing night anymore. That seems like kinda a big deal.
  4. Pretty much all the lows have been affected region wide, in every season. Compared to say 80s climate normals our overnight lows are 5-6 degrees warmer now, regardless of the season. Crazy shit especially for only a 40 year difference.
  5. Our summers are basically miami tier now, except with the highs being about 4-5 degrees cooler on average. The lows are startlingly similar, mid 70s (yuck).
  6. So I guess lows in the 60s for July for the park are basically a thing of the past. Any bets on if we see a single < 70 F low in the park this month?
  7. It was already much drier in 2012. You are forgetting hunga tonga.
  8. Our July/August core summer weather is now startingly similar to miami's. The total lack of lows in the 60s in startling. Mornings are no longer refreshing, its just gross 24/7 during these months.
  9. The park may never see 100 F again. CC has made us way too humid for that. Our new summer norms are upper 80s/low 90s for highs and mid 70s for lows with insufferable dews. Enjoy.
  10. we havent had a single nw trend this winter. they go south and they stay south.
  11. Damn what did delmarva do to deserve such a badass winter ? They're out-snowing Albany !
  12. yup sorry misremembered the storm. meant to use boxing day as the example where it DIDNT happen. regardless if u go back and look at most serious KU's the ones which were OTS over and over at a small lead time are the clear minority.
  13. It happens plenty of times. Dec 2010 was locked in, 2016 was really really locked in. The examples where they lose it completely ots for multiple consecutive runs like presidents day or something are rarer
  14. Welp, shitty trends today. Unless they reverse by tomorrow it's over. Can't get a nice solid ridge over the rockies to save ourselves.
  15. I was extremely incorrect. Too jaded from the past lol. It seems like we might make out decently this winter. Next storm looks like it's trending NW
  16. This was a lesson in not trusting ensembles. Models failed epically. You can make a killing betting under 5" for february on the betting markets. Kalshi still thinks central park's gonna see 10" this month
  17. Totally agree. I'm seeing a carbon copy repeat of Thursday. C-1" and then gross sleet. HRRR caving incredibly fast to NAM.
  18. That lines up nicely with the new NAM. Actually thats a bit too aggressive I think around 0.3" would be closer. We'll see later on today but I think deep down you know the naysers are correct.
  19. Looking at the recent nam this might be a bust forecast. I can see everyone south of bronx getting a trace to 0.1".
  20. Well not to brag but it is looking like I was right all along huh? Today's misses north and midweek misses south. There's a reason I call for low snow, we are in an epically unlucky low snow cycle. Cant deny it.
  21. overrunning sucks. enough of these stupid warm noses. drop a ridge out west and give us a classic miller A coastal storm already
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