BristowWx
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Everything posted by BristowWx
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I just looked at the CMC. Lolz.
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I'm "diggin" this. see what I did there
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I was toggling back forth. looks more like 0z taller ridge out west. but I dont see as strong a shortwave in NW region of US. We shall see.
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Roger. I appreciate the info. Didn't know the wonky 2m temp one but it makes sense having seen what it spits out.
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There has to be something a miss if the cluster is off shore. trough not deep enough? maybe the surface depiction hasn't caught up with h5 depiction.
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Or above.
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It’s a beaut! See below.
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Nuclear fallout from the mushroom cloud which is a metaphor for our winter…or maybe just some dryer lint
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How is this peak lol..not one model gives us snow Well…CMC has a little back end snow on the 23rd. But yes mostly void of blue. I know you are big game hunting. You may get squirrel. Which are oddly enough high in cholesterol.
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All for essentially rain. Back in my day…
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Code orange…the teachers have to work from home. The kids will sleep and eat chips
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Is that good? I feel like I have no idea what looks good anymore. That looks like an off shore fish storm to me with a WAR to the NE
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Only we could have what appears to be a frigid Christmas but still better than average chance of it being green…or brown. Bah!
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You do on that run. I do not. It’s ok I feel good about it. At least it’s cold.
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Euro and CMC have same look so that is comforting for the 23rd
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they can under certain circumstances...like have a block send the primary south of where it normally would be and reforming off ORF but keeping the primary tugging it back west. it just rarely works out that way.
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what does your gut tell you where this one is headed. just curious. mine tells me a strong primary low north of KY is bad but maybe in this type scenario it can work. I feel like we saw this recently like early last week/previous week or so when this Friday looked to be a more wintry event. it evolved obviously. isn't this the same really?
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looking at comparative maps from Euro things have come a long way in 3 runs with mean sea level pressure. still 9 days out. EPS will be interesting
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another 100miles for h5 to dig south-south west...and we would like it...this run spawns low around va capes...just too far east from what I can see
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CMC digs a h5 little farther SE and turns out a little better at the surface. Now I see what has to happen for the 23rd to even have a prayer to be something beyond a snow squall...needs to dig to Southwest GA
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Thats quite a jump in Southern Faquier with .58...that ISW criteria for certain.
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Yes I am calling for a warm/cold/cold/warm January...week one will warm up...week 2 and 3 quite cold...then week 4 will be cold but warming up toward Feb. Either of us has an equal chance of being right he just gets paid a lot. I am a weenie who lives in the suburbs and watches the porch light for first flakes.
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That was both depressing and informative at the same time. If we really need perfection moving forward this hobby will become futile. It was hard enough when things were better.
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That’s probably not good . But we could do a lot worse than that look
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Yes and then a very strong cold front. Very strong. It’s strong I just saw it on the GFS. Thumbs up!
