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BristowWx

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Everything posted by BristowWx

  1. Always high pressure in the casino. Pressure to eat, gamble, drink, ladies. You will need a vacation after that vacation.
  2. Yea this pattern change seems like a fantasy. The euro can't even agree with its weeklies. This winter is reminding me of 01-02 where jb promised a pattern change and when it finally happened...it was December...2003 Jeez you had to go there. Right for the jugular. Bit early to say it’s that bad
  3. Without blocking I assume storms may form and track under us but not slow down and deepen so timing becomes more of a factor.
  4. What else can we do besides obsess over weather. I opened my 401K account and that was an anchored 582dm ridge centered over the the region.
  5. 1 mangled flake and it’s a white Christmas in my twisted weenie mind.
  6. I have no doubt we will be adding a week to 10 days to whatever we think the date is for a serviceable pattern. so it all goes back to 15 Jan timeframe we hope.
  7. Its significant height, in feet, and combined wind-wave and swells valid at 18z on 27 December.
  8. If you ever see a winter storm forecast discussion on NCEP and it says Kocin at the bottom it’s going down for real
  9. Yes I am a generous chap. this place would go crazy for flakes to make Santa's arrival more festive. I know it's a pipe dream but that's what Xmas is all about.
  10. Oh no not the snow blower again. Put that thing away it's bad luck lol!
  11. WOW.. I would be willing to punt the remainder of Dec for that scenario.
  12. I saw that. oh the irony if is were to snow on Christmas. The holy grail of snow events.
  13. Ok. you are crazy...but in a good way. I thought the FV3 was interesting for that time as well. If I see one flake of snow on either Xmas Eve or Day I am counting it as a white Xmas. I'll be plow housed anyway so what does it matter.
  14. Yep. Exactly Totally unscientific but look at the FV3 at 384. Op run sure but the 540 line is almost entirely absent from the lower 48 except for northern Maine. That tells me we are still several weeks from a solid pattern change. 15th might be correct.
  15. You knew that would happen. Always add a week to whatever the models show 2 weeks oiut.
  16. that doesn't surprise me at all. My thought is that El Nino, while known for being wet, doesn't mean cold but more likely marginal temps south of PHL. We need BN temps to get snow...most of us anyway. Further north less of a factor. So I do think we see our fair share of precip events not sure if all but a few will be white. Just my two cents.
  17. If we got that one on NYE don’t think anyone would mind waiting couple weeks. We are patient and practical weenies.
  18. Might have to drink a few more glasses of champagne if that rang true.
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