BristowWx
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Everything posted by BristowWx
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Christmas miracle look hour 384 on GFS at 6z
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Most impressive HH run. This thing may have legs after all. Deeper and colder. Wow.
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guilty as charged. I'll blame it on my gluten issue...it makes me say things repeatedly...I'm not allergic to gluten or anything...I just have an issue with it.
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Are you sure? I can say it a different way and add a less cute self depreciating comment.
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I still see the closed contour high near Greenland...a touch less strong and a touch further east than the 18z money run yesterday....I assume I can use the op for this as we are close to 00z Monday 23 Nov which is the time I am looking at for my own reference...but point well taken how long does it last because with that -PNA it just serves to prevent a lava flow in the east...that's what those extreme red colors look like to me on the temp anomaly maps...molten lava
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Once we actually see the -NAO materialize it will go a long way to bolster confidence. Bob said 4-5 days. So Monday. I can wait.
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Yes. You are correct sir. It’s been a painful run. Last year nearly killed me. Actually my tombstone says died in 2019...so not nearly..just dead
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I’m a believer now. Remove that feature with that -PNA depicted on 18z at h5 and we could cook our turkey on the sidewalk.
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If it wasn’t for the -NAO the East would burst into flames with that h5 look..
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I would not be surprised to se another drastic change in the ensembles. I was flipping back through the last few days and it’s like seeing op run solutions 10 days out. Glad I am not a natural gas trader.
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We get through a less than perfect first two weeks Dec and then a flip when it starts to count..glass half full weenie logic.
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Seeing some widely variable op run solutions for Thanksgiving so it might be 45 or 70...raining or sunny.. deep creek should be an excellent location regardless.
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He has issues. Never liked him much. I put him on ignore.
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From this untrained eye I see nothing that troubles me at h5 on the 6z GEFS for thanksgiving week and beyond. 850 temp averages are BN.
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If the colors were not there it looks like a broad trough in the East and broad ridge in the west. East based zonal trough.
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On the totem pole of wisdom I am on the bottom...but if the EPS and GEFS show similar solutions inside 12 days then you have to pay attention. And hope and wish of course.
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I am banking that if the -NAO develops it remains stable for the LR. Sure why not.
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No you are not. I like that too... any weather outside partly cloudy is fun. I would take cold rain over sunny and 60 on Thanksgiving any time. I might be in minority on that one.
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Its early in the season so plenty of chances upcoming. Lets just hope the advertised pattern in the ensembles materializes or boring cold rain will become a fixture in our lives. Happy Friday!
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18.2 when I left for work. 17 in the 29 battlefield. Not bad
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Well we probably don’t want too much blocking. I will take the cold and smile but snow is a much more delicate equation as everyone knows. Still this ensemble display shows some promise. We watch.
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Based on that posted snow cover map we should be in decent shape. But we are getting ahead of ourselves I believe. The pattern upcoming looks favorable for at least seasonal conditions based on the current ensemble guidance all subject to change.
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That’s a holiday week my friend. I know I am thankful..maybe even the SW can shoot some impulses to the NE.
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Can’t be bad. And it keeps showing up like my relatives on the holidays. November to remember maybe.
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That could be a pattern that lets clippers go under us. Could be...
