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BristowWx

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Everything posted by BristowWx

  1. BristowWx
    One thing that has been fun..somewhat...is waiting to see what the model runs spit out...it’s not usually blue but it’s still interesting. And again it was always post 15 Jan where we needed to pay attention. That’s tomorrow. Strap it on and break it off is the best way to describe the upcoming pattern.
  2. BristowWx
    The block is quite evident on HH. Second rain event gone
  3. BristowWx
    You saw snow in N MD. I knew you would on it. Congrats. Things really collapsed south compared to 12z. Nice
  4. BristowWx
    Isn’t it just the fact that Canada was flooded with PAC air prior to the block? Yeah I know the PAC itself is crap but north of the border has been an inferno. Bad luck yes but is it fair to say that same pattern now but frigid source region would result in a colder outcome? Just random musings
  5. BristowWx
    990L and twin 1030H to the north. that could be a thump to get excited about
  6. BristowWx
    now hr 240 on the Euro...that looks interesting
  7. BristowWx
    yes. just need it a little further south by about 300 miles. I'm trying to figure out what the block actually blocked on that run. the primary made it into IL...the temps spiked to near 60 on hr 198. the HP retreated and was weak sauce to begin with. was that supposed to happen?
  8. BristowWx
    Do you think it..the op GFS...is right? I don’t think the op is resolving the block right now. Wishcasting. EDIT: CMC also looks similar.
  9. BristowWx
    if its right at least we don't have to worry we are so close...its not even close..you could drive 100 miles north and still be rain under that look. Interesting developments today so far.
  10. BristowWx
    That's the way the GFS seems to be playing it. Of course its in the 40s/50s with rain delivering the 7-10 split. but yes its coming straight at us.
  11. BristowWx
    6z GFS has a similar evolution with the departing low taking 50-50 spot forcing the clipper south but its so dry. Who knows. Nothing really at surface.
  12. BristowWx
    Well it’s different
  13. BristowWx
    I just want to see some improvement on HH GFS for next week. Not expecting a SECS just a tick in the right direction.
  14. BristowWx
    Thanks Will. Lets hope we can get this under 150hrs or so. That seems to be the fall apart point.
  15. BristowWx
    but as RedSky pointed out...it's on an island...still nice to see blue and it fits more than a cutter...its a nice start
  16. BristowWx
    If you look at the GFS post 300 you will see the SER in all its glory. That big closed circle of hate off the SC coast
  17. BristowWx
    With the advertised block and the SER we could have a scenario where the convergence over where ever it sets up allows for a nice overrunning event. The where it sets up part can be problematic. Pray to be in the cold side.
  18. BristowWx
    South East Ridge. Our arch nemesis....sometimes
  19. BristowWx
    Pretty sure the PAC will make sure we cross that worry off our list. We’ll be tracking the western trough and SER. Let’s see what 6z GFS shits out.
  20. BristowWx
    Move? I think so. If this is the new normal then we can live anywhere as my wife points out. She said it can not snow here or not snow in our lake house. She’s right but what I heard was...we can not have sex pretty much anywhere at least we’ll have a water view.
  21. BristowWx
    Agreed no torching even here. No winter weather here either. It’s the oatmeal pattern. Keeps you alive but boring as f***
  22. BristowWx
    2m temps are AN for us on that time stamp. Sad but true.
  23. BristowWx
    We have to keep waiting for our 2 weeks of winter. It will probably come and we’ll get some snow along climo lines. Then the block will break down. Come back a bit late Feb early March. Couple of late freezes and boom it’s spring. Sounds cynical but probably close to reality.
  24. BristowWx
    Looks like you will break that streak as you touch 50. Better for outside work. If it’s not going to snow might as well be warm.
  25. BristowWx
    It’s the worst January cold front. It was colder last night than it will be after the front passes here. We have a bit longer to wait.
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