bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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GFS appears to be a baby step in the right direction. more south
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may the lunch GFS and Euro be ever in our favor!
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EPS believes we still have a chance... 6z median
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the euro has kinda trended like 10 miles south each run since yesterday. maybe i'm hallucinating but we maybe have a shot?
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the 6z Euro is SO close for the metros. it would only take like 20 miles for them to stay. all snow. still 80 hours out...
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0z Euro was quite nice (later on in the run)
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Euro is approximately the same as 18z, maybe a little more precip and a little more north. But it also asks the lowlands to wait kindly for their turn.
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GFS has the December 6-7 event.
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it's another ice storm (to rain) from the cmc. same output for the last 4 model runs of that. Euro likely to do the exact same thing it did at 18z as well
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CMC with it's usual ice storm, Euro with it's C-2" before rain and then maybe some back end snow, that's probably what will happen, you don't need to stay up, go to sleep now
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we should probably create a storm thread tomorrow, at least for the NW folks
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With the volatility of guidance right now I think we’ll have a good idea about what happens after it happens
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EPS signals that we still have lots of chances after Dec 2.
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maybe we have a shot for some flurries in the afternoon
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i would wait to call 12/2-3 dead until the nov 30 storm happens. 36 hours out from then and there's still lots discrepancy between models. indy doesn't know whether they're going to get 8 inches of snow or just plain rain rn
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maybe we gotta chance for flurries later on
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36 right now. Warming up with a fire. Weather app says some snow happens around 7:30. I ain’t buying that but it’d be nice.
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some ok returns coming out from the west. extremely unlikely but PLEASE make it through to the lowlands... all i wish for is 10 minutes of light snow
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"AI will takeover the world." Also AI:
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EPS likes Dec 5-6 a lot more than Dec 2-3.
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the one time we needed to nail a storm it didn't. but that's the euro for you
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Happy Thanksgiving to everyone except the folks skipping dinner because the 18z runs are basically their dinner. Hopefully your relatives understand why you keep “checking the oven” with a phone in your hand.
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randy's got his euro run. we just wait for him to notice
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12z Euro works for me.
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GEFS is very good.
