bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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Few takeaways that I've taken from this forum today: 1. There will likely be some banding that will set up somewhere around 30 miles east or west of the I-95 corridor, we probably won't know where exactly until right before the event - Likely will be 1-3" for most areas. Locally 4"+ is possible depending on where banding sets up 2. Guidance seems to generally like Baltimore up to Philly for the highest totals 3. I don't think the south will win again lol
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There's no reason to be down about the 18z Euro IMO. Too many things in play for anything at all to be concrete like @psuhoffman and @CAPE alluded to. Nothing is anywhere close to certain until 24 hours until the event, maybe even less.
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12/12: The little Friday clipper that could? Or won't.
bncho replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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saying that a 30 day MJO 8 is supposed to happen is like saying that the 384hr GFS solution is going to happen lol
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Right now, I'd say I'm fairly confident that DCA will get at least 1.1" of snow right now (assuming DCA doesn't do their normal measuring bullshit), making this December the snowiest since 2009!
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18z NAM is more south and has similar QPF as 12z. Drops 6" just NW of Baltimore.
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NWS is very agressive:
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I pay $30 a month for WeatherBELL for it not to load.
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KING EURO
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so much for that prediction lol
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this is for the panic room. we can't have bad energy anywhere else lol
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saw a few flakes. counts as a trace, lol
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the angle of the trough also kinda sucks. it barely gets its shit together in time so we get a neutral tilt but if we want it negative then we'd need it to slow down and dive SW
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Maybe I'll take a stab at a thread.
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I'm glad I stayed up. IMO excellent 0z suite. CMC and Euro trended south and GFS trended north. Euro AI also higher totals for everybody except @TSSN+.
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0z Euro follows suit with the CMC by going more south; I think DC/Balt would like it. Also has more QPF
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the type of shit @SnowenOutThere feels when he creates the thread and gets the jack zone while the northern crew gets nothing:
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0z CMC... *chef's kiss*
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If the 12z suite tomorrow is good, then we should probably create a thread. The question is, who will create that thread?
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CMC at least came down south.
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CMC pretty heavy band of snow in DC... probably an inch an hour?
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12/12: The little Friday clipper that could? Or won't.
bncho replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
With RIC at 6", they could realistically get 1-2" on Friday and 2-4" on Sunday, and then they've overachieved climo. lol -
For the sake of most in this forum, if Fredericksburg gets half a foot of snow, blood will be shed.
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what would you say is "greatness"? 3-5?
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warmer but qpf nearly identical
