bncho
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Everything posted by bncho
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Talk about a bomb cyclone!
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YES BABY
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We might have the CMC on our side this suite
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12z had nothing. Not even a drop of precip. It's much better so far
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CMC looks a lot better than 12z but it probably won't do it
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NYC forum already has a thread for the Feb 23 thing lol
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Shots fired in the Late Feb/Early March LR thread!
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when it gets to day 4, we think we've got a big one, but once we've reeled it out of the water, it's just a big boulder half of the time
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18z Euro vs 12z Euro — coastal low trying to pop vs nothing
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18z Euro is better, it's just a baby step there.
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I think the Euro's gonna be better
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Stalled 986 LOW
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You're not the center of the forum. Maryland gets hit pretty good, but everybody in VA (a huge part of our demographic) gets skunked with 1" or less.
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Just like most of our storms this winter, wave spacing will be key.
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I got the maps from a met in SouthernWX, but since nothing winter related is going on in the south, he's out of comission for now!
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Take this ensemble as a MAJOR grain of salt, but FWIW
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He succeeded. It’s the most “popular” post lol
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Here were some EPS members that I found cool
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MJO is a pattern driver. That means that it will favor certain patterns, but that doesn't mean those favored patterns will happen all the time. If it's a look like @brooklynwx99 showed up there, the MJO is negligible.
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This is a bncho performance in PBP.
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Here's the SPIRE for reference... quite INSPIRING
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UKIE starts as rain but flips to mod-heavy snow as the low turns stronger
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CMC puts all of that energy into the CAPE cutter
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My big fear is that we end up too far south for the redeveloping Miller B, but at this lead time, it's very encouraging.
