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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. bncho
    It's getting closer to us... maybe the east ticks were making it act more like a kicker? If we get it to phase then I'll believe in this storm again.
  2. bncho
    HRRR looks good, looks like more neg tilt early on
  3. bncho
    What's a BM storm track?
  4. bncho
    I woke up and realized how hopeless 8-12" is for anybody in the region except CAPE. lol
  5. bncho
    Randy is fine is Houston. I doubt Cleaveland Park Mountain gets any more than 4". So much hype for a storm for such a paltry result.
  6. bncho
    i know it's copium but euro did this last 0z suite too
  7. bncho
    Disastrous result after my PBP. Fire me now lol
  8. bncho
  9. bncho
    hang on, that alberta vort is a bit closer than 18z. my thinking is that maybe we're risking a more OTS solution (bc it acts as a kicker) for a phase with that vort? maybe? idk.
  10. bncho
    less neg tilt at hour 42
  11. bncho
    Trough broader, and the euro is slightly east at 39
  12. bncho
    Trough less consolidated, by an asshair amount
  13. bncho
    Confluence exiting quicker, hour 26
  14. bncho
    +PNA ridge asshair more west, heights an asshair higher downstream as well, all asshair changes though hr 21
  15. bncho
    Euro doesn't look half bad... very slightly better at h5 at hour 5 (early, yes, i know)
  16. bncho
    Euro AI east
  17. bncho
    It's PBP time. Depending on how how I do will determine whether I do this again. Remember that I will likely make mistakes. I will probably overreact and jump to conclusions. And I will probably overexaggerate every minute change. Please bear with me though, as these are the most important 0z runs of the 2020s. Euro AI running.
  18. bncho
    Why am I becoming important to this storm? I ask for you to roll the dice, you get a 20. Then I do PBP. Then I see my name on an analysis map from February 13. TF?
  19. bncho
    I didn't do much PBP. It's the GFS. But I will lock in for the Euro. Also AIGFS shift west
  20. bncho
    25 MILES WEST WITH THAT CCB BAND AND WE ARE THERE AT THE HECS
  21. bncho
    More amped
  22. bncho
    NS looks better
  23. bncho
    I like the GFS a little bit better at hour 21 fyi
  24. bncho
    It's begun.
  25. bncho
    I agree with this map.
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