bncho

snowfall accums are paltry even at the m/d line, but it's better

Everytime we are at a crossroads...

MECS/borderline HECS on the Euro AI. Subtract about 2-5" for anywhere that is DC and NW due to the 2/15 event.

@Heisy there's a stationary 980-990 bomb for your timeframe

Euro more amped, henceforth colder and norther

Are we back?

Euro AI is really good

The GFS was really close to something for the 24th, if NS had phased quicker it'd have turned neg tilt quicker and probably have been an HECS it also kinda looks like the Feb 2025 debacle, similar setup, same time of year, but i'd definitely run that look back

The GFS was really close to something for the 24th, if NS had phased quicker it'd have turned neg tilt way quicker and probably have been an HECS it also kinda looks like the Feb 2025 debacle, similar setup, same time of year, but i'd definitely run that look back

Make the sacrifice quick.

so the 850s were colder but the 925s are torching, no snow anywhere

Euro is a touch souther with the precip but it's colder than 18z at the upper levels. Snow maps incoming

oh yeah baby

0z GFS has the Feb 22-23 thing, it's a high end advisory event That timeframe could hold potential. Seems like CAPE's original storm will track too far north but will bring in some cold air for the follow up wave to ride the boundary. Pretty simple way to score around here. btw since i said all this it's now my storm and not Ji's storm even though his analysis is better.

AI GFS better, GFS worse