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bncho

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About bncho

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KIAD
  • Location:
    McLean, VA
  • Interests
    Snow—a lot of it, please.

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  1. Well, what did we expect? The Mid-Atlantic is back to the rug pulls and cliff jumpers we know and love!
  2. rename this thread to the holiday weekend debacle, just like Feb 19-20 was lol
  3. 06z GFS and Euro are extremely disappointing, but their ensembles aren’t too bad, albeit a tick slightly east.
  4. GEFS keeps continuing the west trend—great… but where the hell was that last winter?
  5. SUMMARIZING THE 12Z SUITE Globals GFS | IAD: 2-3", DCA: 2-3", BWI: 3-5", RIC: 2-3.5" (most aggressive/best outcome forum-wide) ECWMF | IAD: 1-1.3", DCA: 1.3-1.8", BWI: 1.5-2.5", RIC: <0.5" EC-AIFS | IAD: <0.15", DCA: <0.2", BWI: <0.2", RIC: 0.2-0.5" (least agressive/worst outcome forum-wide) CMC/GEM | IAD: 0.5-1", DCA: 1-3", BWI: 2-3", RIC: 0.4-0.7" ICON | IAD: 1-1.6", DCA: 1.3-1.7", BWI: 1.3-1.6", RIC: 1.5-2.5" UKMET | IAD: <0.15", DCA <0.1", BWI: 0.3-0.8", RIC: 0.2-0.5" Ensembles GEFS | IAD: 0.8-1.2", DCA: 1.1-1.5", BWI: 1.3-1.7", RIC: 0.8-1.1" ECWMF Ens | IAD: 0.8-1", DCA: 0.9-1.1", BWI: 1-1.2", RIC: 0.9-1.1" EC-AIFS Ens | IAD: 0.4-0.7", DCA: 0.6-0.8", BWI: 0.7-0.9", RIC: 0.5-0.7" (least agressive/worst outcome forum-wide) CMCE | IAD: 0.9-1.2", DCA: 1.3-1.6", BWI: 1.6-2", RIC: 0.9-1.2" (most aggressive/best outcome forum-wide)
  6. 12z Euro AI ensemble ticks east similar to it's non-AI counterpart. 1.2" -> 0.9" -> 0.7"
  7. Another tick east by the 12z Euro Ensemble. 1.6" -> 1.3" -> 1.0"
  8. from what i'm reading, the last October Nor'easter was October 29 2011, where IAD got 0.2 inches of snow, and DCA got 0.1!
  9. h this gives a winter vibe. everybody hyped for a storm in a STORM THREAD. hell yeah baby. let's reel this one in!!!!
  10. I feel good about this one. I said that about one hundred times last winter I'm and going to die with it again.
  11. good thing about this is that worst-case still gives us some rain
  12. the exact opposite of Feb 19-20. The GFS won that time . Maybe it can win again?
  13. 12z CMC/GEM is decent for I-95 and points east, sharp cutoff for the west.
  14. Euro AI ensemble less aggressive with it, but still averages almost an inch.
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