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Everything posted by BarryStantonGBP
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
DeepMinds have 2 new waves coming out of Africa: both MH but one heading for the Gulf and the other OTS OTS wave gets named before the WCAR/Gulf wave -
INVEST 98L - 0/0 - RIP BOZO
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
- 43 replies
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- lower texas coast
- ne mexico
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INVEST 98L - 0/0 - RIP BOZO
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Invest 98LAs of 18:00 UTC Aug 13, 2025: Location: 18.4°N 89.9°WMaximum Winds: 20 kt Gusts: N/AMinimum Central Pressure: 1012 mbEnvironmental Pressure: N/ARadius of Circulation: N/ARadius of Maximum wind: 100 nm- 43 replies
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- lower texas coast
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
@GaWx i wrote the dates in raw thoughts? Euro EMON:11th - 16th August: Phase 218th - 30th August: Phase 330th - 31st August: Phase 21st - 12th September: Phase 1Euro EMOM:12th - 19th August: Phase 320th - 29th August: Phase 430th August - 12th September: Phase 2BOM:11th - 18th August: Phase 318th - 27th August: Phase 428th August - 9th September: Phase 2NCFS:12th - 17th August: Phase 218th - 22nd August: Phase 323rd August - 7th September: Phase 48th -11th September: Phase 3, 2, 1, 8 -
Hurricane Erin: 140 MPH - 935 mb - NW @ 12
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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Hurricane Erin: 140 MPH - 935 mb - NW @ 12
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
AL, 05, 2025081318, , BEST, 0, 163N, 443W, 45, 1002, TS -
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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INVEST 98L - 0/0 - RIP BOZO
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
A tropical wave over the Yucatan Peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward and cross the Yucatan Peninsula today with no significant increase in organization. Some development of this system is possible after it emerges across the southwestern Gulf beginning on Thursday while it moves to the northwest at 10 to 15 mph. The system is expected to move inland over northeastern Mexico by late Friday, which should diminish its chances of development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.- 43 replies
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- lower texas coast
- ne mexico
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Bro, does this mean the next 3 NS are likely weak? I give up if the funniest name is wasted -
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
How much ACE would that be between storms I give up. The funniest name wasted -
Central & Eastern Pacific Thread
BarryStantonGBP replied to Windspeed's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
How much NS would that be then just for housekeeping -
INVEST 98L - 0/0 - RIP BOZO
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Fernand strikes me as a gulf quick fire name- 43 replies
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
All for the bloody peak season energy to go into the EPAC what’s the point -
INVEST 98L - 0/0 - RIP BOZO
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
- 43 replies
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- 1
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- lower texas coast
- ne mexico
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(and 3 more)
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Hurricane Erin: 140 MPH - 935 mb - NW @ 12
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
fat swells ahead for the EC innit lad -
Hurricane Erin: 140 MPH - 935 mb - NW @ 12
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
fair play lads, but you’re testing the wrong thing nyc high temps to “debunk” the lrc is like checking the prem table by counting corners the lrc isn’t “day 41 = same temperature” it’s “the autumn pattern locks in, then the same set-ups (trough/ridge/block/jet kinks) keep rocking up on a ~40–60 day lap” you verify it at 500mb and with storm windows/corridors, not with a cvs receipt of max temps “self-made claims”? mate the method’s published, the cycle length wobbles, and nobody said it’s a metronome it’s a map for when/where to watch, not a magic dice roll for your postcode clickbait on x? agree, there’s plenty doesn’t mean pattern work = clickbait don’t bin the whole pub ‘cause one lad sang off key recurvature chat? sound. if there’s a fat canada trough carving a weakness, she’ll hook. lrc doesn’t fight the synoptics, it anticipates the window they turn up in tl;dr: lrc = dates + corridors from a recurring autumn blueprint verify with 500mb fingerprints & repeat setups, not surface highs cycle ≠ clock, it breathes (41ish this year ≠ tattoo) use it to spot the window, then let the guidance pick the lane now if you’ll excuse me cam on erin bam bam bam (score some over-water goals, lass) -
Hurricane Erin: 140 MPH - 935 mb - NW @ 12
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
GONZALO lad… all that hype, thought it was gonna smash us like ’87. Nan’s in Plymouth hoarding Rich Tea, neighbours lashing sandbags on the Co-Op door. Then it just peters out like some bargain-bin Dominican patio party. Plastic chairs blowin’ over in a breeze, reggaeton still blaring though there’s only two soggy blokes left dancing. -
Hurricane Erin: 140 MPH - 935 mb - NW @ 12
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
How did ed compare to lee -
Hurricane Erin: 140 MPH - 935 mb - NW @ 12
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
So Ed was a nothingburger Got it -
Hurricane Erin: 140 MPH - 935 mb - NW @ 12
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Were you in ed -
Hurricane Erin: 140 MPH - 935 mb - NW @ 12
BarryStantonGBP replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters