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BarryStantonGBP

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Everything posted by BarryStantonGBP

  1. Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Aug 31 2025 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: 1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for slow development of this system, and a tropical depression could form late this week or next weekend. This system is expected to move westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic throughout the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Forecaster Patel
  2. One model run had it split at the end of the tutt
  3. @GaWxthoughts on that run? Thoughts on the lemon giving birth / splitting?
  4. Might get another storm not just gabsy wabsy
  5. kiko chan also we may get another storm not just gabsy wabsy
  6. Is it me or do I feel that a wave behind the lemon could be named first
  7. I actually prefer his posts to nonces like wx57 who think they live in ibiza
  8. Quote Category5Kaiju Category 5 Re: 2025 ATL hurricane season is here #94 Sat Aug 30, 2025 7:23 pm For what it's worth, the 18z GFS actually shows three active systems by September 15: one in the Gulf, one east of the Bahamas (that is the 0/30 system), and one in the far eastern MDR. tweet
  9. What intensifies? did Milton form that way? I have a bad feeling about otrebmuh
  10. deepminds shows a WCAR storm forming around mid-month, heading for GOA
  11. I already know gabs will be an mdr struggle bus
  12. Hi Lazza! Guess this means the wave off Africa probably might fizzle out and not develop no?
  13. Lazza @GaWx from storm2k posted this, quite useful: LarryWx S2K Supporter Posts: 6504 Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm Location: GA Re: 2025 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out thru day 16) #808 by LarryWx » Thu Aug 28, 2025 3:37 pm Tue’s (8/26/25) Euro Weeklies ACE Sep progs vs very active 20 yr climo: 1-7: 4.5 (0.3) 8-14: 11.3 (0.7) 15-21: 20.4 (1.3) 22-28: 22.4 (1.6) Today’s (8/28/25) EW ACE progs are less active weeks 2-4 vs the Tue run but still show the same pattern of a relatively quiet first half of Sept and a much more active 2nd half somewhat similar to Sept of 2024: 1-7: 4.5 (0.3) 8-14: 8 (0.5) 15-21: 17 (1.1) 22-28: 20 (1.4)
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