I think a torch in the SE is possible for February, but I don't see it in the mid-Atlantic or Northeast. In fact, I think the first 10-15 days of the month will be favorable for snow in these areas. The February monthly temp departure will be close to normal in these areas, and maybe below in some areas of northern Vermont, NH, and Maine. I think it turns warmer for these areas during the 2nd half of February, leading into the inevitable torch during March/first part of April.