PhiEaglesfan712

The 2023-24 season is officially a consensus strong el nino, as Eric Webb has updated the Ensemble website, calling it a strong el nino: https://www.webberweather.com/ensemble-oceanic-nino-index.html This is in agreement with NOAA: https://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm Strong/Super El Ninos since 1950 Super El Nino: 1972-73 (7 - considered Super by Ensemble, but Strong by NOAA), 1982-83 (8), 1997-98 (8), 2015-16 (8) Strong El Nino: 1957-58 (6), 1965-66 (6), 1987-88 (6), 1991-92 (6), 2009-10 (5 - considered Strong by Ensemble, but Moderate by NOAA), 2023-24 (6)

If we were going to get a revisit of 09-10, it would have been this year with the strong el nino, but as they say "no two el ninos are alike". Our last true enso neutral season was 2013-14, a blockbuster snow season (although the year before, 2012-13, was another enso neutral season, but not a great snow season). However, it's unlikely that we're getting that in 2024-25. The most likely scenario is the strong la nina. Good news: The last strong la nina was 2010-11, which followed the strong el nino of 2009-10. We had an above average snow season in 2010-11, and the Atlantic was warm in 2010. 10-11 is one of the best analog years (along with 73-74) for 2024-25.

It was March 2001: https://www.nytimes.com/2001/03/07/nyregion/fickle-storm-no-blizzard-was-more-trouble-for-some-than-for-others.html I was in 7th grade. Saturday was the 3rd, and I remember the talk about the big storm. Here is a map of the potential storm snowfall on The Weather Channel:

Not this year. Strong el nino to strong la nina transitions tend to favor above average temperatures in the spring and summer months in Philly . 2010 is the best example of this. The summers of 1973, 1988, and 2010 were (at the time) record warm summers in Philly (although the heat in 1988 abruptly ended in mid-August and produced a historically cold October).