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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Wont matter much for surge but even a 100MPH windfield into Tampa is going to be terrible. Some good discussion over on the tropical forum here.
  2. Nice dose of much needed rain this morning here about .50
  3. Looks like a SE movement right now-has time to make the turn more E then ENE/NE but if it doesn't it would be obviously weaker with any Yucatan interaction or even a LF there.
  4. Wont matter that much in terms of surge though-that's baked it once it hits Cat 4-5. Wind damage less of course
  5. forecast shows it turning east or ene later today or tonight-would be surprised with an actual LF there
  6. a couple downpours here with thunder....much needed
  7. The water is likely churned up there-wonder how long that would last and how it could inhibit strengthening?
  8. 99.9% chance given the death toll and extreme inland destruction
  9. The whole winter was essentially waiting for a good pattern-went from late Dec to mid Jan-finally shows up but craps out after a week-then another long wait and we got 5 cold days in Feb then that was it...
  10. the other problem is that if the "Good pattern" hasn't arrived by March it's probably not coming...
  11. At least at this point with 3 duds in a row-expectations are low. But we'll see the same ol posts I'm sure...."The NAO is negative" "You're giving up? It's only ____ fill in preferred date" "Joe Schmoe said it's coming next month!" "this year looks like ____ (fill in snowy winter here)"
  12. Where are you going to get cold air this time of year? Arctic sea ice is at its lowest extent in Sept.
  13. MJO just doesnt want to take a run through 8-1-2 these days
  14. Who is in denial about a warming climate at this stage? Even JB says we are warming up.
  15. Someday I want to check it out. LOL. Got to be boring maybe one restaurant/bar?
  16. Huge halo around the sun here as the high clouds move back in...
  17. Some partial clearing possible for northern/eastern areas looking at satellite.
  18. .25 here last night and early this morning.
  19. yeah agree models were trending north til the bitter end..we got about .05 today-3K NAM has some activity later for alot of CT let's hope it verifies....
  20. They were too far north although this rain is very light some drizzle here currently but better than nothing
  21. light rain here-enough to settle the dust
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