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Everything posted by Brian5671
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Wont matter much for surge but even a 100MPH windfield into Tampa is going to be terrible. Some good discussion over on the tropical forum here.
- 1,188 replies
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Nice dose of much needed rain this morning here about .50
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Looks like a SE movement right now-has time to make the turn more E then ENE/NE but if it doesn't it would be obviously weaker with any Yucatan interaction or even a LF there.
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Wont matter that much in terms of surge though-that's baked it once it hits Cat 4-5. Wind damage less of course
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Is there much of a population there?
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forecast shows it turning east or ene later today or tonight-would be surprised with an actual LF there
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a couple downpours here with thunder....much needed
- 1,188 replies
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The water is likely churned up there-wonder how long that would last and how it could inhibit strengthening?
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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Brian5671 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
99.9% chance given the death toll and extreme inland destruction -
Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
The whole winter was essentially waiting for a good pattern-went from late Dec to mid Jan-finally shows up but craps out after a week-then another long wait and we got 5 cold days in Feb then that was it... -
Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
the other problem is that if the "Good pattern" hasn't arrived by March it's probably not coming... -
Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
At least at this point with 3 duds in a row-expectations are low. But we'll see the same ol posts I'm sure...."The NAO is negative" "You're giving up? It's only ____ fill in preferred date" "Joe Schmoe said it's coming next month!" "this year looks like ____ (fill in snowy winter here)" -
Where are you going to get cold air this time of year? Arctic sea ice is at its lowest extent in Sept.
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MJO just doesnt want to take a run through 8-1-2 these days
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
Brian5671 replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
Who is in denial about a warming climate at this stage? Even JB says we are warming up. -
No road even in summer wow
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Someday I want to check it out. LOL. Got to be boring maybe one restaurant/bar?
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sharp cutoff around NYC though...
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Huge halo around the sun here as the high clouds move back in...
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Some partial clearing possible for northern/eastern areas looking at satellite.
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.25 here last night and early this morning.
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September vibes - Last 90s for some, 1st frost for others
Brian5671 replied to tamarack's topic in New England
yeah agree models were trending north til the bitter end..we got about .05 today-3K NAM has some activity later for alot of CT let's hope it verifies.... -
September vibes - Last 90s for some, 1st frost for others
Brian5671 replied to tamarack's topic in New England
I'd be happy with .25 at this point -
They were too far north although this rain is very light some drizzle here currently but better than nothing
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light rain here-enough to settle the dust
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