BuffaloWeather

Love the conveyor belt look on NAM. Burries the midwest and extrapolated out this way would be a huge hit for all

I actually don't mind it for the big dogs. But I don't like it for every storm. They've been naming hurricanes and tropical storms for years.

Looks like they’re naming it Landon

Yeah there is enough confidence for watches today.

RGEM a little bit further NW then Euro

Euro

Those ice maps are never accurate, better to use satellite imagery. The far southtowns of Buffalo received over 3 feet of snow from an event in which the lake was 85% covered last year. So lake effect potential is definitely still there. Can get evaporation between the cracks in the ice.

NE forum comparing to this storm

Whatever happens, we're getting a QPF Bomb

@wolfie09 Getting hit by that?

Ice storm down in Ohio on that run

Its the sleet/snow algorithm on pivotal vs tidbits. Pivotal has higher detail.

GEFS

agreed thinking 1:14 further NW and right along that edge 1:10.

Massive hit

Its quite a bit further SE

I'm dumbfounded too. The only comparable years are 1966-1969. You should feel good that this won't last. You got all the bad years out of the way now. Statistics don't lie. https://www.tsforecast.com/seasonalsnowfall.html

Yep. I don't see that changing though. McDermott made idiot calls all season long. He one time declined a 5 yd penalty that would have made it a 52 yrd fg vs 47 for no reason. That Jags game was all coaching. He could have put Bates in at O line which solved all our O line issues earlier. He is so stubborn in keeping "his" guys in. We had a really rough patch mid year on our O line and to think it was easily solvable.

I may get my ice storm after all.

Nam is always amped it had the last storm 100 miles nw then what actually happened

Top Analog

HWO The potential exists for a long duration winter storm to impact the region Wednesday night into Friday. This system has the potential to bring significant accumulating snow. Details in forecast track and exact amounts are still emerging at this time. A more northern track could also bring the possibility of ice.

BUF: The 30/12Z run of the ECMWF has again trended further NW and is now more in line with the GFS and Canadian-NH. Would still like too see some run to run consistency but a somewhat more clearer picture is starting to evolve. Again...a lot will ride on the strength of the sfc high to our northwest and the eventual push of the 850 hPa thermal boundary (cold front) into and across the region. The next key will be where it stalls or sets up which will then provide a path for several waves of low pressure to track along. This boundary will also determine p-type and snowfall amounts...which could be significant depending on which side of the boundary you reside. Right now...its looking like an all snow event for all of our CWA. The question is just how much...too early to say at this point. Again...just want to hammer one "big" point home with this update. As was previously stated...guidance has been all over the board. Its only been the 30/12Z guidance that has been a little bit more consistent. Still lots of time for things to change but will start with adding this potential storm in the HWO. stay tuned!

Close enough to start its own thread