BuffaloWeather

He doesn't understand the law of thermodynamics. Warmer SSTs off the coast are fueling these strong nor'easters just like they fuel the stronger hurricanes we've had the last few years. Here is a good article about it. https://climate.nasa.gov/ask-nasa-climate/2956/how-climate-change-may-be-impacting-storms-over-earths-tropical-oceans/ The team also saw that for every 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit (1 degree Celsius) that SST increased, the number of extreme storms went up by about 21 percent. Based on current climate model projections, the researchers concluded that extreme storms may increase 60 percent by the year 2100. The highest snowfall totals in New England in recent years actually proves global warming, not disprove it.

I think I posted more than some of you posters during your big event last year in Binghamton. I'm not an IMBY poster. I'm just a fan of huge storms, albeit it LES/synoptic. I followed that storm yesterday all day in their thread. But if a big dog LES storm hits, that is the only thing I want IMBY. You'll catch me in the hurricane/tornadic outbreak threads all over AMX posting in spring/summer.

Happy anniversary

The potential exists for a long duration winter storm to impact the region Wednesday night into Friday. This system has the potential to bring significant accumulating snow. Details in forecast track and exact amounts are still emerging at this time. A more northern track could also bring the possibility of ice.

It's not too far off. First precipitation with this event starts around 2-3 PM on Weds across WNY. Winter Storm Watches likely issued tomorrow afternoon if guidance reminds consistent.

Over a foot for SYR. Not as much juice as GFS.

The storm really never "bombs" out as its anafrontal so you want to be as close to that taint as possible to get the best stuff. In comparison to a strengthening closing off system you'd rather be further NW.

Definitely further NW

Euro is similar to GFS but slightly SE. Going to be huge hit.

I'd be tailgating right now at the stadium. We had plans to rush the field if we won the game today at home to go to superbowl. It hurts.

Well it doesn't help when there are 16 games and you're guaranteed 2 losses every year to one of those teams. It shortens the season to 14 games and only 6 made it in the AFC during that time. Your probabilities are substantially reduced in making the playoffs. Bradys record against the Bills was like 33-3

BUF going with 100% pops Wednesday Rain and snow before 11am, then rain between 11am and 3pm, then rain and snow after 3pm. High near 39. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Wednesday Night Snow. Low around 29. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Thursday Snow. High near 29. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Thursday Night Snow likely, mainly before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 14. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

I plan on doing this. My buddies going to drone me out on the ice. Speaking of Ice Hockey. I raised $1,000 in the last few days for the 11 day powerplay!

Long range GFS brings the PV on our heads

If this happens and Erie is frozen

.1" per hour for 40 hours.

GEFS are still pretty far NW

It snows for 40 hours straight on GEM here lol

GGEM is quite a bit south and puts our entire area in the jackpot zone. By Tuesday this will be a an Atlantic city jackpot.

Yeah lol Tombo is pretty dam good. I respect his thoughts more than the models.

Tim stuck with his guns in NE last night

Just think here is the Euro on Thurs, Crazy change.

yeah thats barely an event.