BuffaloWeather

My house was 162k, that is gorgeous.

A place in Eastern NY got 12" of snow crazy.

https://www.cnet.com/how-to/when-will-the-coronavirus-vaccine-be-ready-everything-we-know-right-now/ How good are the odds for finding a vaccine? Not great. Only about 6% of vaccine candidates ever make it through to market, and not just because they don't work. There's a whole litany of problems that could cancel even a promising candidate. Take, for example, what happened when scientists tried to develop a vaccine for SARS -- it backfired and actually made people more susceptible to the disease. Same thing happened with a vaccine for Dengue fever. To make matters worse, coronaviruses are a large class of viruses and so far there are no vaccines for any of them. However, this particular coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, has some unique traits that may help researchers working on a vaccine. For example, some viruses, like the flu, mutate quickly and often, which is why there's a new flu vaccine every year. This coronavirus doesn't seem to do that. Although it's still too early to be completely certain what will happen by the time a vaccine is ready, it's thought that the virus has not yet mutated significantly enough to disrupt vaccine development, nor is it expected to. What happens if we never find a coronavirus vaccine? The longer we go without a vaccine, the more likely focus will shift toward treatments, such as the experimental antiviral drug remdesivir, which has been showing promising results. Many viruses that used to be fatal are no longer death sentences. Patients with HIV, for example, now can expect to enjoy the same life expectancy as non-HIV-positive individuals, thanks to tremendous advances in treatment. Without a coronavirus vaccine, the road back to normal may be harder and longer, but not necessarily impossible. Coronavirus testing, including antibody testing, and contact tracing efforts would probably need to intensify. Lockdown measures would probably lift slowly, although depending on how people handle it cities and states may bring them back, including requiring face masks and social distancing. Eventually, the global population may reach the 60% to 70% rate required for herd immunity to protect those who aren't immune.

https://www.statnews.com/2020/05/06/mounting-promises-on-covid-vaccines/ “I don’t think that the general population will have vaccine probably until the second half of 2021. And that’s if everything works OK,” he said.

Yes I know that, but that wasn't my point. My point was that one man with the virus can have that type of impact. Going to be impossible to do anything for years. Suck it up herd immunity is the only option. If one guy on a NFL or NHL team gets sick the entire team is locked down for possible exposure. There won't be sports for years if there is no vaccine. I just can't see that happening.

Bars and restaurants re closing due to 1 man with the virus. Life is never going to be the same. https://www.nydailynews.com/coronavirus/ny-coronavirus-seould-shuts-down-bars-20200509-fble22hvbbdnnhpjbwmtoac7k4-story.html "Seoul shut down bars and nightclubs Saturday, following a surge of coronavirus cases — many linked to one man — after South Korea had relaxed its social-distancing policies. More than 2,100 nightclubs, bars and discos were shuttered under the order Mayor Park Won-soon imposed."

Coronavirus pandemic may lead to 75,000 "deaths of despair" from suicide, drug and alcohol abuse, study says https://www.cbsnews.com/news/coronavirus-deaths-suicides-drugs-alcohol-pandemic-75000/

Snowing here too, unreal

Yeah I would think it would take a few years not decades.

A vaccine may not even happen, and if it does could takes years. https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/03/health/coronavirus-vaccine-never-developed-intl/index.html "There are some viruses that we still do not have vaccines against," says Dr. David Nabarro, a professor of global health at Imperial College London. "We can't make an absolute assumption that a vaccine will appear at all, or if it does appear, whether it will pass all the tests of efficacy and safety. Most experts remain confident that a Covid-19 vaccine will eventually be developed; in part because, unlike previous diseases like HIV and malaria, the coronavirus does not mutate rapidly. But even if a vaccine is developed, bringing it to fruition in any of those timeframes would be a feat never achieved before. "We've never accelerated a vaccine in a year to 18 months." In 1984, the US Secretary of Health and Human Services Margaret Heckler announced at a press conference in Washington, DC, that scientists had successfully identified the virus that later became known as HIV -- and predicted that a preventative vaccine would be ready for testing in two years. Nearly four decades and 32 million deaths later, the world is still waiting for an HIV vaccine. "An effective vaccine for dengue fever, which infects as many as 400,000 people a year according to the WHO, has eluded doctors for decades. In 2017, a large-scale effort to find one was suspended after it was found to worsen the symptoms of the disease." Similarly, it's been very difficult to develop vaccines for the common rhinoviruses and adenoviruses -- which, like coronaviruses, can cause cold symptoms. There's just one vaccine to prevent two strains of adenovirus, and it's not commercially available. "The lockdown is not sustainable economically, and possibly not politically," says Neal. "So we need other things to control it." That means that, as countries start to creep out of their paralyses, experts would push governments to implement an awkward new way of living and interacting to buy the world time in the months, years or decades until Covid-19 can be eliminated by a vaccine.

Good read. What if we can't find a cure quickly? "The search for a vaccine is a moonshot, and it may work. After all, America did put a man on the moon. But we can’t keep the economy in lockdown while we wait. The purpose of the lockdown was not to prevent every American from getting COVID-19, Roy says, but to prevent our health care system from being overwhelmed. “We’ve done that,” he says. “It’s time to stop annihilating the economy." https://www.journalnow.com/opinion/columnists/marc-a-thiessen-what-if-we-cant-find-a-cure-quickly/article_7426e4f2-8fb9-5e39-a214-e88b43093b2d.html

82k that is insane. That wouldn't get you a 1 bedroom in Hamburg The median home value in Town of Hamburg is $195,565. Town of Hamburg home values have gone up 3.7% over the past year

My drone was having issues. I was trying to get some video.

Wow at that band that just moved trough...An inch already in like 30 minutes, stuck everywhere...

I take probiotics on the daily for the last few years. Haven't had any stomach issues since I started.

My cousin has crohns disease and previously had IBS. Such a brutal illness. He has certain foods that trigger it, so his diet has to be very strict. It's a tough situation to constantly have to track everything and be near a bathroom at all times throughout the day.

LOL

It's been snowing all day here.

Bomb cyclone? More fake news https://www.nbcnews.com/news/weather/mother-s-day-weekend-snowstorm-could-bring-bomb-cyclone-thundersnow-n1202811

Because unemployment levels were at historic lows before this virus. Not relating to this survey. Obviously UI rates are now at historic highs.

It really is incredible. 6 weeks from the most powerful sun of the year. 6 weeks after June 21st is beginning of August and usually the warmest time of year.

I'm worried about corporate earnings the next few quarters. A lot of large companies are going to be reporting substantial negative profits.

Are not most low income earners still working? Grocery stores, most retail stores, and most restaurants (take out)