BuffaloWeather

Look at this great tackle play...

Syracuse had quite the spread today. High of 61 and low of 28. Those are some west coast high/lows.

Picture perfect fall week coming up. I love how every weekend its nasty out and during the week its always sunny/warm.

Both Josh Allens were drafted at 7th overall. The Josh Allen pass to Josh Allen was hilarious. By far the most frustrating football gave I've ever watched as a Bills fan. 22 yards rushing...I could get 22 yards rushing, put me in coach! We have quite a few big times issues. The offensive line is the worst in the league. We also have zero running game, and desperately miss Knox as Sweeney is terrible. Why did McDermott not accept that 10 yard penalty? It would have been a 50+ yard FG and their kicker sucked. It would have been 6 to 6 and going to overtime. We also had what 12 penalties for 118 yards...You're not going to win many games with 22 yards rushing, 2 INT, 1 Fumble, and 12 penalties for 118 yards.

It seems every year we see cold air forecasted 2-3 weeks out in time and as we get closer it gets warmer and warmer. The models and long range forecasting have been abysmal since the "upgrades".

Welcome! Prepare for good ole fashion sizzle.

GFS still has marginal LES event for WNY

Great stuff! We haven't had sustained cold since the winter of 2013-2014. Everything has been pretty transient around here.

Literally the most perfect fall morning. Warmed up throughout the round, but very little wind beautiful sunshine. Give me this for another couple weeks.

Went disc golfing this morning in Holland just past peak fall conditions

wolfie bustin out the new maps this year.

I feel confident in saying everyone here has an above average snowfall for November. Buffalo 30 year average is between 7-8" for November. You can bookmark this and tell me how wrong I was Dec 1st.

Primary Polar Analogs: 1964-1965, 2020-2021, 2000-2001, 2010-2011, 2017-2018, 2005-2006, 1955-1956, 1995-1996, 1970-1971, 1974-1975, 1954-1955

Weak La Nina: Moderate La Nina: Strong La Nina:

Another winter outlook out https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/56117-winter-2021-2022-outlook/?tab=comments#comment-6171398

Great stuff Ray, always appreciate the work you put into these.

Some real cold dropped at end of GFS for November standards.

Yeah still a little out there but definitely some chances in 2nd half of the month. GFS always shows cold late in run, but it has support from EPS too.

I would send KBUF a screenshot of the highest departure you can find the next few weeks current time, maybe they will go check it out again or replace a broken part.

If I were to guess its lazy people at KBUF not updating it. You should do ROC temp and see why its so much colder than everywhere else in NY at the end of each month, not just the daily.

GEFS has the cold from Nov 13 until end of run.

How do you explain Watertown being warmer than KBUF so far this month, and Syracuse tying Buffalo in departure for October? SYR doesn't have a warm lake to its west. If BUF is off so are those 2 locations. This is why this doesn't have much merit to me anymore.