BuffaloWeather

Friday into Tuesday look to be below normal with Sunday/Monday likely being our coldest days. We get another warmup next week and then a cool down around thanksgiving.

NWS: There will be a brief break in rain behind the cold front later Friday through a portion of Friday night, then extensive wrap around moisture moves back into the eastern Great Lakes later Friday night through the weekend. This will bring a chance of showers in general, and the arrival of cooler air aloft will also support an increasing chance of lake effect and/or lake enhanced precipitation north and northeast of the lakes. The column looks to stay warm enough for all rain through Saturday, followed by increasing chances of some wet snow mixing in later Saturday night through Sunday.

GFS still showing lake effect snow on sunday/monday, not sure what the temps look like havent look too far into it. With the lake temp in the 60s we could see some wet bulb/dynamic cooling to lower the temp.

Most frustrating game I've ever watched.

True this weekend was the exception to the rule. Was able to finish winterizing the backyard. Officially ready for the first snow, put the gazebo away, plants, BBQ, and chairs.

Look at this great tackle play...

Syracuse had quite the spread today. High of 61 and low of 28. Those are some west coast high/lows.

Picture perfect fall week coming up. I love how every weekend its nasty out and during the week its always sunny/warm.

Both Josh Allens were drafted at 7th overall. The Josh Allen pass to Josh Allen was hilarious. By far the most frustrating football gave I've ever watched as a Bills fan. 22 yards rushing...I could get 22 yards rushing, put me in coach! We have quite a few big times issues. The offensive line is the worst in the league. We also have zero running game, and desperately miss Knox as Sweeney is terrible. Why did McDermott not accept that 10 yard penalty? It would have been a 50+ yard FG and their kicker sucked. It would have been 6 to 6 and going to overtime. We also had what 12 penalties for 118 yards...You're not going to win many games with 22 yards rushing, 2 INT, 1 Fumble, and 12 penalties for 118 yards.

It seems every year we see cold air forecasted 2-3 weeks out in time and as we get closer it gets warmer and warmer. The models and long range forecasting have been abysmal since the "upgrades".

Welcome! Prepare for good ole fashion sizzle.

GFS still has marginal LES event for WNY

Great stuff! We haven't had sustained cold since the winter of 2013-2014. Everything has been pretty transient around here.

Literally the most perfect fall morning. Warmed up throughout the round, but very little wind beautiful sunshine. Give me this for another couple weeks.

Went disc golfing this morning in Holland just past peak fall conditions

wolfie bustin out the new maps this year.

I feel confident in saying everyone here has an above average snowfall for November. Buffalo 30 year average is between 7-8" for November. You can bookmark this and tell me how wrong I was Dec 1st.

Primary Polar Analogs: 1964-1965, 2020-2021, 2000-2001, 2010-2011, 2017-2018, 2005-2006, 1955-1956, 1995-1996, 1970-1971, 1974-1975, 1954-1955

Weak La Nina: Moderate La Nina: Strong La Nina:

Another winter outlook out https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/56117-winter-2021-2022-outlook/?tab=comments#comment-6171398

Great stuff Ray, always appreciate the work you put into these.

Some real cold dropped at end of GFS for November standards.