BuffaloWeather

I think you're reading that wrong. That's a pretty good look for early/mid January. That look shows a reduction in the record PNA and the PV on our side of the globe which allows the colder air to seep eastward. You don't need below normal temps for January in our area. Normal and even slightly above normal do just fine for the coldest month of the year.

Pretty good consensus of pattern change around the new year

Yeah EPO or PNA, both some big time Pacific Ocean issues. Both years we had atlantic blocking as well. Just goes to show you PAC>ATL

Buffaloweather: We just had that last January. January 2020 was the 9th warmest in the records. ____________________ Freak: I'm dead serious when I say we should go for the all time least snowiest season on record here in Syracuse because, from the looks of most guidance we may get to mid-January with not much accumulation so Ima start rooting for it, why not, since it doesn't want to snow anymore. _____________________ Buffaloweather: Posted December 28, 2020 Lots of cutters next 2 weeks. Should be a few really warm days tossed in there compared to average. Feel pretty confident in another above average month in January. Last year and this year are both back to back Ninas. The Southeast ridge has been killing our winters. Just a bad Pacific. I will say I would take what I am seeing for January over what last year brought.

Lake erie at 41 degrees, 4 above normal. We have the potential for 40 degree lake temps in January.

@DeltaT13 That really was a fluff bomb. 1:25 ratio looks like? .10=3.2" 1:32

It really is. But most days you get a moist NW flow you can expect some type of LES band to form, where is anyones guess.

I remember him. I don't remember him having a snow machine, he just groomed what snow was on the ground. That backyard was amazing though!

You like snow more then anyone I’ve ever met, you really need one of these. I’m getting you this for Christmas.

Congrats andrew! The best events are the ones that are unsuspected. Happy holidays!

Thats an awesome fluff bomber, congrats!

Crazy loop

This is what I mean when I say get the cold over our head and it will snow with 2 lakes nearby. Any lift and its snow around here with cold air.

KROC reporting moderate snow 1/2 mile visibility.

Alright the melt percentages have been changed. @rochesterdavegoes to 20%, @TugHillMatt has been increased to 30% and @CNY-LES FREAKgoes up to 50%

Pretty decent consensus the PNA begins to weaken next week into new year. Still think we have a warm Christmas and new year though.

I think that timeframe is to watch for a pattern change. Most have that cold front changing the locked in pattern that we've had for the last month. Can see the cold air actually has a mechanism to finally make its way eastward.

Japan getting hit pretty hard from ocean effect snow.

@TugHillMatt setup watching every webcam with snow falling in the world

Just remember this is from Feb. of this year (Last winter). Things can change quickly in upstate.

Would love this pattern for spring/summer but would like to go skiing a few times this winter. I'm thinking about booking a trip out west in march.

GEFS showing a rebuilding of eastern ridge around new years, pattern is LOCKED

Really hope the blocking stays when we get a little pacific help. Need both for big les potential.

First les of the year showing up on 6z gfs.