BuffaloWeather

Snowiest Januarys in Buffalo. Right now we are at 44.6". About to crack the top 10 with 13 days left.

That arctic front should be pretty strong on Sunday. I'd expect a pretty strong Lake enhanced band to drift from north to south. Even low res GFS is showing it, something to watch.

Sneaky potential on Sunday for a few inches too

Euro has a strong clipper followed by decent snowstorm next week.

41 at KBUF, allowed me to get my driveway down to pavement

It froze during the really cold 2013-2014 winter pretty extensively https://www.cbsnews.com/pictures/frozen-niagara-falls/3/

Ive never even heard of this storm, such a weird track https://wtov9.com/news/local/70th-anniversary-of-ohio-valleys-strongest-winter-storm

It did okay but didn't catch on nearly as quickly as the GFS did. The UKIE was by far the worst model and not sure how it ranks 2nd best in verification scores as its consistently terrible.

Syracuse is having a really rough year GSB Cities The 2021 - 2022 Snow Season Normal Average to Date This Time Last Season Normal Seasons Average All Time Season Snowfall Record Buffalo 55.3 50.1 35.3 94.7 199.4 inches (1976 - 1977) Rochester 38.4 46.3 14.2 99.5 161.7 inches (1959 - 1960) Binghamton 30.7 37.8 57.2 83.4 135.2 inches (2016 - 2017) Syracuse 30.0 60.6 19.4 123.8 192.1 inches (1992 - 1993) Albany 12.1 25.6 32.4 60.2 112.5 inches (1970 - 1971)

Holiday Valley on the year Past 24 Hours 7 - 8 in. Past 48 Hours 19 in. Season Total 69 in.

Looks good for another month or so

We had thundersnow near Niagara falls but this report was 5.8" of snow in one hour.

Jan 1978 blizzard was 951 mb

congrats on the storm! Highest total from WNY ended up being 25.5", most impressive part of this storm was this observation. https://kamala.cod.edu/ny/latest.nous41.KBUF.html Couple videos from the storm.

One last thought on this storm. The GFS nailed the NW trend a few days ahead of every model and within 24-48 hours the NAM/RGEM nailed the placement of heaviest snowband. The GEFS were completely worthless and the OP GFS had a consistent track for 4-5 days before the storm hit.

Going to be chilly. No way we go cold and dry for 2 weeks straight in January with warm lakes. I like the pattern for those SE of Ontario vs NE of Erie.

Place to be is in southeast this winter

Couple decent LES chances on GEM. Later this weekend and then next week. With this cold air coming a lot of events will come out of no where, just takes a little lift to get the lakes going.

Updated Storm Totals KBUF at 20.6", highest synoptic storm since 2008 where 21.8" fell. Highest total was 25.5" in Niagara county, what a storm! Buffalo Airport 20.6 in 0700 AM 01/18 Official NWS Obs ...Niagara County... Sanborn 4NE 25.5 in 0700 AM 01/18 COOP https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF

The next time period to watch is probably on Sunday with Arctic front and next week has several clippers with some lake enhancement/effect. Won't know much LES potential until closer to event, but likely meandering bands of enhancement.

Everyone is on their 3rd winter of being below normal in Upstate besides maybe Binghamton last year and Buffalo this year, but we're only 3" above and will likely be below average by end of this week. Your location also has not been bad at all compared to SYR recording station. What's your total for year so far?

Clipper train on the 6z GFS.

2.06" was the highest 2 day QPF I could find. The average across the area was around 1.75". Matched up pretty well with the models.

19.2" was final total at Buffalo, highest total was 22.8" https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF