How would you feel if snow misses us to the south like in 2017-2018? The Capital Weather Gang even wrote an article back then that said something along the lines of "the number of southern cities that have more snow than DC this winter is embarassing".
DCA average high for Christmas is 47, Accuweather's current forecast gives a high of 51 for that day so +4.
A torch would be more like today where the high is 62 compared to the average of 50, which is +12.
Weenies will cling onto anything that will validate their snow fantasies until it either verifies or the rug is pulled. Even if it's a <1% long shot some of them will take it as gospel until 6 hours later and the new run has it completely vanish.
This current pattern threw a bone to the snow weenies, you have to remember that a month ago a lot of people here announced last rites in regards to winter.
Would precip be accurate that far out? There were quite a few times in the warmer months where there were several inches of rain on those maps over a month in advance only for it to go poof as we got closer.