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Shad

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Everything posted by Shad

  1. Shad
    Well the NAM is running......its finally getting into range where its somewhat useful.....remember the NAM always overdoes QPF by at least 25% so dont get too excited when you see the totals it spits out!
  2. Shad
    You can tell this group is desperate for Snow when we are doing Play by Play of the NAM at 60+ hours out. lol
  3. Shad
    Holy Fook the Euro....looking good for me here in Northern Neck of VA......but know this probably tics north the next 2 days......
  4. Shad
    you guys are going to like the Canadian as well.....
  5. Shad
    ULL cranking
  6. Shad
    Not much point in looking into NAM details outside of 48 hrs for those new here
  7. Shad
    looks like crazy ice for Virginia per the NAM hope its more sleet than Fr Rain
  8. Shad
    60s in VA beach Monday according to the ICON....was low 40s this mornings run......not a good sign, hopefully its just the ICON
  9. Shad
    storms going to be out of here before sunrise Monday morning
  10. Shad
    icon coming in faster.....appears to be a bit south of the 12z run at this time
  11. Shad
    icon a bit juicier at 78
  12. Shad
    euro improved for for the 11th..... wouldn't be surprised to see this turn into a real threat over the coming days
  13. Shad
    Not a fan of the Ukie but it does hammer 2/3 of VA with a Warning level event as dipicted
  14. Shad
    This storm was caught on the models several days and now its back in a bit of a different form.....a true slow crawling potential Miller A...... Blizzard for the Carolinas.....no way that doesnt trend North over time
  15. Shad
    into NC at 222....SC getting destroyed
  16. Shad
    GFS is a monster snowstorm for Alabama, Georgia, SC Wow
  17. Shad
    10th has my attention......improvement from the 6z run for sure
  18. Shad
    One concern with a storm like this and most Miller B type storms is there is usually a transfer of Low Pressure to the Coast and a dry slot where certain areas get screwed.....wouldnt be suprised if someone in VA gets dry slotted with this event
  19. Shad
    all guidance this morning now suggests this things moves in faster
  20. Shad
    Most will like the CMC but its going to be an icy mess for alot of Virginia
  21. Shad
    GFS is a mess. Next
  22. Shad
    Canadian looks fairly similar to the 00z at 120hrs
  23. Shad
    Euro has been so consistent the past 4+ runs.....other models getting closer but still jumping around a bit. Fredericksburg seems to be a good place to be for this one based on the current modeling but that can change quickly......
  24. Shad
    CMC is juicy
  25. Shad
    Had a feeling this would trend south....its just one model and the Euro seems to have best handle on this event
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