griteater

The NAM looks too amped at the base of the trough, but I like a toned down version of this...but with precip getting back into E Tennessee

It's kind of how I've been envisioning this system, but we'll see what the other models say when they come in

NAM = que the Fred Sanford holding the heart pic

Outside of the mountains, quicker is not the trend we want to see from a temperature standpoint

UKMet looks a little faster and slightly less amped to me compared to last run...hard to tell on the precip...detailed maps come out later.

CMC looks a little quicker with the storm this run...has some light snow in north GA to upstate to parts of central, then western NC....not a lot of precip thrown back west into the cold air

Some light snows before precip ends from Raleigh north to Chesapeake

Need to see what the UKMet says for trend clues

Looking like GFS is going to be an eastern scraper again

GFS out to 69 - just minor differences, but it looks a whole like the prior run to this point

GFS out to 45 - western ridge is a little taller

Yeah, that's probably right Thanks, looks nice. Some of the highlights of my life have been going skiing out west

What's really sad is we've got the purdiest little bowling ball traversing the southern stream in a couple of days...how is that staying suppressed with no cold air in the pattern...oh the irony

Cool Burrel, got any ski pics? Flying over central Colorado in winter is pretty sweet....just a vast area of deep white, and snow choked mtns.

^ Brett - your pivotweather pages are awesome! Especially love the soundings with omega on the left hand side! Thanks

All the great southern storms had a DGEX crush job thrown in there

Nothing screams great winter like seeing severe weather threads pop up on the SE page

Some others in addition to what Tyler mentioned: College of Dupage: on any model map image, just click on the map and it will launch a sounding for that time http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ TwisterData: similar to Dupage, just click on the map - http://www.twisterdata.com/ Others for sounding or sounding data: http://www.wxcaster.com/models_text.htm http://vortex.plymouth.edu/myo/fx/raobfx.html http://www.stormchaser.niu.edu/machine/textfcstsound.html For observed soundings (not modeled): http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundings/

Gotcha. I would go sleet over frz rain, but like both

Indeed

It shouldn't take you too long to find a good ice storm in Old Fort...how long have you been there?

Luckily I have gas logs, gas stove, gas water heater...so, that lessens my concern...guy up the street here has automatic cutover to generator which is nice

Why zr over sleet, just curious?