Powerball

1 hour ago, Powerball said:

And so it begins.

12z GFS backs off on the cold front next weekend, and it's even pumping another 588+ dm ridge by the end of its run. 850mb temps never get below 12*C here.

And the 12z GGEM has joined the club.

And so it begins.

12z GFS backs off on the cold front next weekend, and it's even pumping another 588+ dm ridge by the end of its run. 850mb temps never get below 12*C here.

EURO's already starting to show signs of cancelling next weekend's cold front.

33 minutes ago, LithiaWx said:

Ridiculous prolonged heat. 

Get used to it. It's going to be a hot weekend.

11 hours ago, Powerball said:

ATL also hit 90*F yesterday. The first time since 1954. 

Record high today is 91*F (also set back in 1954), which could be in jeopardy.

The record high of 91*F today at ATL was in fact tied.

6 hours ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

CAE hit 90 today. Not terribly unusual for them in early Oct, but getting pretty late for that. AVL still hasn't gone below 60 since 8/25! I simply can't believe that factoid! Not forecast to do so over the coming week either.

ATL also hit 90*F yesterday. The first time since 1954. 

Record high today is 91*F (also set back in 1954), which could be in jeopardy.

3 hours ago, Solak said:

Cold front cancel.

Given the 
strength of the mid and upper level ridge across the area, would be 
highly suspicious of any forecast guidance that readily pushes the 
front south through the area, with the front much more likely to 
stall out and eventually wash out invof the forecast area over the 
course of the weekend. 

Was there ever a chance? 

The grid officially calls for 90'*F here on Friday, and 88*F on Thursday and Saturday.

FWIW, the humidity has dropped off a bit.

Dewpoints are now in the low 60s, lol.

What were the winters of 1921-1922 and 1925-1926 like?

They seem to be the common denominators with all of these records being broken.

Looks like 69*F will do it for the minimum low this month at ATL.

Crazy! And we could even make a run at 90*F by the middle of this upcoming week.

1 hour ago, Powerball said:

The high so far has been 87*F at ATL.

No rain today. After the mid-level clouds mixed out and shifted SE during the mid-late morning hours, it's been sunny with SCT culumus clouds.

Dewpoints a bit lower too, in the upper 60s.

So scratch that. The high was actually 88*F. Record high was 92*F, set back in 1941.

The high so far has been 87*F at ATL.

No rain today. After the mid-level clouds mixed out and shifted SE during the mid-late morning hours, it's been sunny with SCT culumus clouds.

Dewpoints a bit lower too, in the upper 60s.

Had thunderstorms in the vicinity for the past 3 days. Should maybe get a break today.

Interestingly enoughh, ATL overachieved Tuesday and Wednesday with highs of 88*F and 89*F. And even with highs now mainly in the low/mid 80s, average highs are now in the upper 70s and lows are still well above average (around 70*F).

7 hours ago, BK Rambler said:

18Z GFS keeps a huge 588+ ridge parked over us for nearly the entire run - sometimes stretches from Cabo San Lucas to Bermuda 

GGEM pops a massive 594+ DM ridge over NC by the end of its run (240hr). 

2 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said:

 

So that means even less model downtime, because by the time the 18z / 06z EURO likely finishes, the 00z / 12z NAM will likely rolling.

Plus, it will be hourly data up to 90hrs and 3-hourly data from 93 to 144hrs.

Not sure if you all got the memo, but starting in October, the EURO will run for 4 cycles / day.

6 hours ago, FallsLake said:

12z GFS has flipped from its earlier run and now shows a major cold front for the SE next weekend (8-9 days out). Do I believe it, not yet...  

Dew points for next weekend:

4 hours ago, FallsLake said:

Latest Euro is also on board for a big cool down next weekend. Still far out but gives us some hope.

 

With a +NAO / -PNA? 

Don't hold your breath 

1 hour ago, Queencitywx said:

GFS just cancelled fall through at least October 10th

And beyond if its heights at 384hr were any sign.

It has support from the EURO/GGEM (through 240hr) too.

ATL somehow managed yet another 90*F high today, lol.

Skies were also mostly sunny again.

4 minutes ago, Powerball said:

Currently 91*F at ATL, making this the 6th 90*F+ day in a row and the 14th 90*F+ day this month.

Some isolated covection is starting to buble up though, after mostly sunny skies for the balance of the day.

Also, the "coldest" low this month to-date was 69*F back on 9/17.

Other than that, ATL hasn't seen another low below 71*F this month.

Currently 91*F at ATL, making this the 6th 90*F+ day in a row and the 14th 90*F+ day this month.

Some isolated covection is starting to bubble up though, after mostly sunny skies for the balance of the day.

The high yesterday at ATL was 90*F with mostly sunny skies.

Temps do moderate after today, but will still be above average for the forseeable future. Latest model runs have backed off on the cold front passage this upcoming week and reestablish a strong SE ridge.

42 minutes ago, Shack said:

Well, Macon hit 100deg today.

Hottest day of the year.

4 days before the first day of Autumn.

...........I won't be happy unless we hit 10deg four days before the first day of Spring !

What a difference the fall line makes.

Made it to 91*F here and 92*F at ATL today with mostly sunny skies.