Powerball

Not sure if you all got the memo, but starting in October, the EURO will run for 4 cycles / day.

6 hours ago, FallsLake said:

12z GFS has flipped from its earlier run and now shows a major cold front for the SE next weekend (8-9 days out). Do I believe it, not yet...  

Dew points for next weekend:

4 hours ago, FallsLake said:

Latest Euro is also on board for a big cool down next weekend. Still far out but gives us some hope.

 

With a +NAO / -PNA? 

Don't hold your breath 

1 hour ago, Queencitywx said:

GFS just cancelled fall through at least October 10th

And beyond if its heights at 384hr were any sign.

It has support from the EURO/GGEM (through 240hr) too.

ATL somehow managed yet another 90*F high today, lol.

Skies were also mostly sunny again.

4 minutes ago, Powerball said:

Currently 91*F at ATL, making this the 6th 90*F+ day in a row and the 14th 90*F+ day this month.

Some isolated covection is starting to buble up though, after mostly sunny skies for the balance of the day.

Also, the "coldest" low this month to-date was 69*F back on 9/17.

Other than that, ATL hasn't seen another low below 71*F this month.

Currently 91*F at ATL, making this the 6th 90*F+ day in a row and the 14th 90*F+ day this month.

Some isolated covection is starting to bubble up though, after mostly sunny skies for the balance of the day.

The high yesterday at ATL was 90*F with mostly sunny skies.

Temps do moderate after today, but will still be above average for the forseeable future. Latest model runs have backed off on the cold front passage this upcoming week and reestablish a strong SE ridge.

42 minutes ago, Shack said:

Well, Macon hit 100deg today.

Hottest day of the year.

4 days before the first day of Autumn.

...........I won't be happy unless we hit 10deg four days before the first day of Spring !

What a difference the fall line makes.

Made it to 91*F here and 92*F at ATL today with mostly sunny skies.

1 hour ago, Powerball said:

It appears 91*F will be the high for today, both here and at ATL.

Correction: It was actually 92*F here.

It appears 91*F will be the high for today, both here and at ATL.

The 12z GFS doesn't show 850mb temps getting below 16*C the entire run. 

Florence drifted closed enough yesterday that there was quite a bit of cloud cover, though still just enough breaks in the clouds to allow for a high of 87*F.

As of today, it's back to the regularly scheduled program with highs near 90*F and mostly sunny skies.

12 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

If I made it to 95 here in the triad in mid sept after the summer we've all had across the southeast........i just dont wanna say.  But it might be on the 11 oclock news.

Relative to normal, temps haven't been that bad here. June was the warmest month of the Summer overall, with a depature of 2.5*F. July and August were around average.

It was May and now September (to-date) that's been torchy, although they're not really Summer months.

That said, it has been a long Summer with non-stop heat and humidity since May, although nothing extreme (in fact, besides yesterday and today, there was only one other 94*F+ day).

25 minutes ago, Powerball said:

Yet again, ATL made it to 95*F today (at 1pm). The record high was 97*F, set in 1991.

Now we're getting a heavy rain shower from a shortwave rotating around Florence. No thunder though.

I take it back. Now I'm hearing rumbles of thunder (though rain has passed).

Yet again, ATL made it to 95*F today (at 1pm). The record high was 97*F, set in 1991.

Now we're getting a heavy rain shower from a shortwave rotating around Florence. No thunder though.

Florence has drifted closer today, so it's a little more breezy. But still, it's already 91*F with mostly sunny skies.

Achieved an impressive high of 95*F yesterday at ATL, which was 1 degree off the record high for the day. Also, if I'm not mistaken, this was the warmest day of the year (yes, in mid-September, lol).

Well above average temperatures (highs near 90*F) and humidity looks to continue through at least next week too.

Currently getting a heavy rain shower after reaching a high of 88*F with mostly sunny skies.

I think there were a few convective showers earlier this afternoon too, but no thunder both times.

42 minutes ago, Rainforrest said:

Definitely not good. We’ve already had 103 inches so far this year. I don’t know how much more we can handle. 

Welp, username checks out...

50 minutes ago, JoshM said:

Euro does a off shore tour of the Carolinas and makes landfall in Georgia!

Awful.

23 minutes ago, Powerball said:

No thunder, but just got a heavy rain shower after reaching a high of 91F with mostly sunny skies.

I take that back. Rain has passed, but now I'm getting rumbles of thunder.

No thunder, but just got a heavy rain shower after reaching a high of 91F with mostly sunny skies.

The sea breeze from the Atlantic made it this far inland, bringing with it some t'storms right now

The heaviest core slid off just to the north about a mile, but did get a nice shelf cloud, numerous cracks of thunder and some decent 25-30 MPH gusts. Also got just enough rain to dampen everything up.

Otherwise, today was partly to mostly sunny with a high of 89*F.

Looks like a nice surprise for the Detroit area today with the strong t'storms. It seems as though it was unexpected.

It doesn't make up for the joke of a severe weather season I'm sure, but it's definitely a little bit of something.