Well yes I realize that. But I thought the past 24-48 hr trends pretty much killed that snowfall probability for C MD to something more like 1-2%. Twenty percent chance seems optimistic at this point. One can hope ....
Counting snow, sleet, compacting/melting and overnight lite dusting, think I'm gonna just go with 3" even, unless today over-performs. Yesterday afternoon before sleet I had a few measurements approaching 2.7" and 2.8",
Been ripping in Columbia for at least past 90 mins. when I first noticed. Have also had a few biting in-your-face wind gusts. Temp has gone up 1.4 in last hour to 24.7. A few quick measurements of about 2-1/2”, plus or minus.
Columbia 4-F club: First fine flakes falling.
10.3 low temp at dawn.
22.1 at 2:00pm w/first flakes
My low-bar of victory/acceptability since Saturday is a 3” snowfall, even if it washes away.
Noticed my Columbia morning text forecast update slightly upped daytime accums from 1-2” to 1-3”. I’ll take what I can get.
edit: after morning low of 10 at dawn, just hit 20 imby at 11:45am. First time all morning I’ve lost vailed sun, finally.
My bar for this event in Columbia, even if snow gets washed away in the end:
Less than 3" total snowfall = BUST
3"- 4" -- Decent, all things considered
4"- 6" -- Better than I would have expected, all things considered
> 6" -- BOOM
Ground coated/covered white after storm ends and it looks like winter outside: That's all I really ever hoped for.
Morning low 10.3 around dawn. Up to 16.6 at 10:15am. Need clouds to hold tough and need snow to roll in quickly today.
Columbia 7am. 18°. Sun not yet up so a little time for temp to lower some more. Kinda expected a lower temp this morning considering clear skies and light winds and low 20s at bedtime Monday.
Depleted by injuries. Given who they had as backups, they competed pretty well IMO. Lots of mistakes, several questionable coaching calls and a play here and there they needed to make but didn’t make .... could’ve been the winning difference in several games. Sure, any of those painfully close games could have been one but as they say ... the really good teams seem to find a way to win. Let’s see them at full strength next year! If healthy, they should be among the top teams. Certainly among the most exciting.