MDScienceTeacher
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Posts posted by MDScienceTeacher
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1 minute ago, Snowmadness said:
Digging further west this run
We are good.
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14 minutes ago, wxtrix said:
camp 3: no snow until after Christmas.
Meaning you don't want snow til after Christmas or "It just doesn't snow before Christmas around here"?
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32 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:
Yes but upon further inspection the trend toward a more northern stream dominant system continued. That’s a big problem for us. We know how a northern stream dominant miller b ends for us. 24 hours ago the trend was towards more of a hybrid. If this ends up northern stream dominant history suggests we end up on the losing side. More than any other feature the trend I want to see if back towards less northern stream dominant and more STJ interaction. It’s been going the wrong way recent runs. Still plenty of time for more changes.
To me it looks like a timing issue with the initial wave getting way too far out in front of the northern stream low diving out of Canada. Now those pieces don't go boom until Christmas when everything as already progressed past us.
The good news is that the pattern says blocking. And I am pretty sure that blocking means that progression will get slowed and the energy will get pushed further south as the models come into focus. Fingers crosses LOL
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42 minutes ago, osfan24 said:
Looks like the second storm on Boxing Day vanished this run.
As these things come in to resolution, I feel like the models will sort out/ consolidate storms wrt to timing. Thats my guess but who knows how these things work under the hood.
In my household everyone looks at the models. We have a family limit - 156 hours. If the storm is inside 156 hr, we are allowed to get psyched up over it. Otherwise, it is fantasy land. I guess tomorrow is the day we can start getting stoked.
- 5
December 2022 Medium-Long Range Disco
in Mid Atlantic
Posted