MDScienceTeacher

We aren’t going to get more snow this year, are we? These models make me so sad.

Jan 2011 too

Yeah I guess. In all honesty I hadn’t seen the euro when I posted this. If I had and saw the favorable trend I probably wouldn’t have posted this. Even at hr 120 we are still in a progressive flow so I guess it makes sense for the ensembles to be in so far apart. In past events we have seen much more agreement but in almost all of those cases we have had a favorable Atlantic.

I mean the individual members couldn’t be further apart

I preferred TT because I though that Pivotal didnt have the slider animation feature.. but I realized just a couple of weeks ago that you can set Pivotal to the slider by choosing animation -> forecast loop at the top of the map.

This is the coldest it’s been leading up to any snow event since maybe 10 years as far as I can remember

I’m gonna go out in a limb here and say the precipitation type is not gonna be an issue except maybe for the first half an hour

Yeah I have seen this for snow squalls situations where they are only expecting 2-4 inches

I like @Terpeastforecast a lot better at least he makes an actual forecast. This is just “I’m gonna make a map that could cover any possible outcome.”

Maybe it was an icing situation I am thinking about. Which would make more sense.

Actually, no, I’ve seen a warning for a 2 to 4 inch so I think they take into consideration overall conditions, especially if there is a chance for dynamic snow that’s gonna take people by surprise

I don’t understand why this is not a warning for Carrol, Baltimore, Harford counties. With the cold air mass in place and the possibility for moderate to heavy snow over a short period of time roads will be extremely bad.

I have a house in Rehoboth and an apartment in Elliott city. This is gonna happen.. 100% just like this. because the snow gods hate me and my family

I agree. Btw this event reminds me of one of the events we had in 2015.. I think it was the Valentine’s Day snow squalls. that event was modeled as snow showers right up until the short range models started picking up on squall lines and coastal development. I remember some places in Hartford county seeing 4-6 inches in a very short period of time. the official Bwi total was 2.5 inches. here is a link to foots forecast for that storm. I couldn’t find much on it.. others than this https://www.facebook.com/ffcentralmaryland/photos/730-am-214-something-wicked-this-way-comes-and-we-hope-you-are-well-aware-of-the/10152687024933857/?http_ref=eyJ0cyI6MTc2NTQ1Nzk1ODAwMCwiciI6Imh0dHBzOlwvXC93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbVwvIn0%3D

I have zero scientific reason for this statement, but this is going improve as we get closer and will over perform at game time. 2014-2015 style!