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DarkSharkWX

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Everything posted by DarkSharkWX

  1. DarkSharkWX
    we are following the jan 2016 progression right now, but maybe around a week earlier patience is needed
  2. DarkSharkWX
  3. DarkSharkWX
    op gfs tax
  4. DarkSharkWX
    .
  5. DarkSharkWX
    eps looks good
  6. DarkSharkWX
    gefs looking blocky
  7. DarkSharkWX
    quadfecta of teleconnections on GEFS; -EPO/-NAO/-AO/+PNA this is how you open up potential for higher end events with cold air available
  8. DarkSharkWX
    some greenland ridging popping up on GEFS, looks good
  9. DarkSharkWX
    by his snowcover logic or whatever shouldnt have 2022-23 winter been a cold and snowy one for the EC bc of how cold the continent was in dec?? thats like saying why do we have summer if winter is so cold
  10. DarkSharkWX
    still good
  11. DarkSharkWX
    nice changes so far w more ridging poking into the arctic domain and low being pulled further W into the Aleutians
  12. DarkSharkWX
    now starting to retrograde westward, nice +PNA signal and overall good slider pattern, significantly better w/ shifts towards the EPS, still got a lot of work to do, but now we're building heights in W Canada/E AK as well as nice confluence
  13. DarkSharkWX
    GEFS looks better, so far cold is arriving faster, further W GOA/Aleutian low, stronger 50/50 low and +PNA/N Canadian ridging
  14. DarkSharkWX
    yes but generally we have been missing that, 2022 had a favorable pattern in Jan besides 2019/2022 past 7 years haven't been really good here(except 2021 for northern areas?) compare to last up period for NE US
  15. DarkSharkWX
    looks great, favorable storm track with plenty cold, amazing eps run
  16. DarkSharkWX
    exactly what we've been missing the past 7 years
  17. DarkSharkWX
    -NAO builds as well as retrograding the heights in W NA further W into Alaska, as well as the aleutian low
  18. DarkSharkWX
    positive changes on EPS so far with atlantic and pacific domain, looks great
  19. DarkSharkWX
    without snow cover build its going to be hard to get sustained cold, however if the model progression of retrograding heights westward into the EPO/PNA domain and even getting some height builds in NAO domain it will eventually improve the 28th-30th airmass seems just cold enough to snow; marginal but could work
  20. DarkSharkWX
    yeah this is p surprising we act have to watch this now probably, models are going to be struggling af with this
  21. DarkSharkWX
    2.1" 12/11/2023 seasonal total as of date: 2.1"
  22. DarkSharkWX
    are you referencing aleutian lows putting pressure on the SPV bc those are typically caused by jet extensions although +EAMT classic evolution is one that builds HP over the Urals that becomes advected eastward to be in E/SE Asia, therefore causing an +EAMT event so it could also be that? idk fs tho
  23. DarkSharkWX
    speaking of, the weak SPV will help with overextension concerns and should bully the jet to retract back eventually, but i would be skeptical of pattern changes too quickly as models may be running through them too quickly w that being said, we will def progress eventually, my bet is early-mid jan; remember nino winters really start in the EC after MLK day
  24. DarkSharkWX
    2.1” final storm total in gburg 530’ huge overpreformance
  25. DarkSharkWX
    1" on sidewalks and roads people are going to be so surprised waking up to this lmao
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