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About Stormchaserchuck1

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Location:
Fallston, MD
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I actually had a dream that the CDC Daily climate composites pages were working again -
90 here at 11:10am!
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Indian Ocean has probably warmed the most of every sea region of the globe. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
PNA just not budging with this El Nino May could be the 4th consecutive month with -pna Not really much of a consistency rolled forward, historically. -
Wish every day could be like today
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
^You were right about it shifting east, like other Strong Nino's. I have seen cold pools get stuck in the middle-west for the last few years, and kind of thought this year could follow the same trend with Nino 4 getting warm so early. -
Nino vs the dry pattern
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Up to 94 here in the woods.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I just saw my first cloud!- 341 replies
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Hmm I'm not sure it's a wet pattern right now
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91F.. I'm usually 5-7 degrees cooler than DCA, not today.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
AO and NAO are usually about 0.85 correlated, but they are running apart this year: AO is -1.0 for 2026 so far, NAO is +4.4. March AO was +2 though. It has basically exactly neutral correlation April to May, and March to May [1948-2020]. There is a slight -EPO correlation actually March +AO to May- May is a little cooler temp wise in the CONUS after +AO March, which we have seen at least in the 1st half. -
88 here at 12:20. Not a cloud in the sky
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nino 1+2 was close to 0.0 in 09-10. It was also the #1 most -NAO Winter on record, going back to the mid-1800s. Kind of interesting that we are batting 0-22 on Winter NAO months > +1.11 starting after just 1 year after that. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Believe it or not, April and May have a slight inverse correlation. There is 0.1 tendency for the NAO in these months to reverse each other.
