Stormchaserchuck1

I'm a little surprised, I have an up signal on it using technical indicators I have tested. Still extremely volatile - it was $76 an hour ago, now it's $85

As always, when a super warm day is initialized, models lose snow threats. They don't estimate this stuff right when it is ahead of time.

I liked Likely more than Andrews. He was a really good blocker for Lamar. Is it true Andrews has never caught a TD in the playoffs (and that's in a lot of games)?

Not a tough call to be long Oil for tomorrow.

I would be a little surprised if it got Strong or greater on the RONI.

^Do you know if there are circuit breakers on the trading of Oil? Sometimes they will only let it go so far in a day.

SSW should be giving us -NAO by the end of the month.. doesn't always work though, and the last few March's SSWs haven't had much of a -nao correlation. Should be interesting to see if models have it wrong though

Strong +NAO being the biggest counter factor

I noticed this pattern last Winter, which we had never really seen before. Then of course the extreme's that followed this year

Wow that Southwest, US heat ridge is strong on the 12z EPS. Phoenix beating their old DJF Temp record by +1.8F is phenomenal (#1 to #2 is the same as #2 to #20 - donsutherland stats). There might be a significant record set there in March, as well.

Well 2nd half of March snow is really hard, especially with the -PDO pattern this decade, but a below average temp pattern does look likely as that High pressure starts to build strong in the Southwest in the medium range- the pattern of the Winter.

it's actually not a bad time to be bullish on March, analogs of the DJF pattern shows it repeats for March 60% of the time, which is pretty high. The SW, US heat ridge is looking like a constant. That drops a trough into the Northeast.

An interesting thing about March 2012 was actually how cold it was in the N. Hemisphere I recall almost hitting 90F that month

I feel like we've been tracking this warmup forever. NWS has DC hitting 83F on Wednesday! While it's still technically Winter!

SOI was +30 today.. it certainly hasn't been leading the past few years Somewhat correlated to -PDO phase sustaining