78Blizzard

53 minutes ago, RDRY said:

21,240 minutes to lock it in.

Nice eye candy,  I wonder when was the last time a 14 day prog with a winter hurricane verified, lol.  25 mb drop in 12 hours is some serious bombogenesis.

12 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Super Grinch ugly.

Last year you gave December a D-.  With 5 days left, how about a grade for TY?

LOL at the 12z GFS.  We've seen this movie too many times.  Storm after storm passes to our south.  Then when the pattern flips, we will get the cutters.      

It's only one run, but the 0z GFS has virtually no qpf for the next two weeks following Thursday's now minor rain event.  We'll see.

I'm getting déjà vu reading some of these posts.  It felt like I was transported back a year to this forum.

Meteorologists on social media are posting weather models about the increasing threat of a so-called sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) over the Arctic, which could unleash wintry weather across the eastern half of the US in the new year. 

Could we move this 2 day 1/3-1/5 blizzard northeast about 1800 miles?

Enjoy those flurries and squalls while they last.  But for those who want a white Christmas, it looks like you'll have to go to the Canadian border to get it.

42 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

And has been. Take a white Christmas to the bank .

Maybe for NNE.  Very doubtful for SNE, despite the clueless guidance. 

27F here now.  0z GFS had us at 35F, lol.  They need to revise those big city heat effects as they take them out too far from the inner city.

9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Gfs vs the world for next weeks snower 

https://x.com/eweather13/status/1718012634660733236?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

LOL GFS.  It went from a high here on Sunday of 47F at 12z run to a high of 56F at 18z.  Typical GFS 48 hour forecast.

18 minutes ago, weathafella said:

75-79 Wednesday and maybe Thursday.  Glorious!   Struggling to go higher than 40s several days the following week.   

Yeah, the first week of November looks to be well BN.  Anyone who hasn't had a frost by then will probably see one, if not a freeze.

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

The GFS can have a massive mixing bias. This past week the GFS was going bonkers within the central states through the Ohio Valley. There were some locations GFS was spitting out like 97 and the NAM was 86 and NBM like 89

 True that.  Uncle was the only model that had the high close to what happened here today.  It showed a high of 89F at 18z, while just about every other model, including the mesos, had us in the 90's at 18z.

Another fail by most of the models again, at least here.  GFS had a high of 96F here today, but the high was 88F, now 86F.  So we fail once again to reach 90F here as had been predicted so many times since early August.  The last 90F here was back sometime in July, and we reached it only twice this summer.  But we have made up for that with the high humidity.

It's almost like the models are controlled by the warmistas, lol.

I see the 12z GFS finally threw in the towel on us getting into the 90's.  First run in a while that I've seen without anything even approaching 90 here for the entire run.

That probably means we will see some.

3 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Finally got 80F this month earlier today (80.0).   Such an odd start to the month 

The GFS week after week continues to push for 90's here, but it just doesn't happen.  That model upgrade has definitely shown a warm bias.

Look at the 0z differences with h850 temps between the GFS and the Canadian for day 8 next Monday, especially from the plains and lakes region east.

The high here yesterday was 87, today 86.  Now 85.

I notice that the GFS is still warm biased, at least at this location.  Yesterday's 12z GFS run had a high here of 93 yesterday, and the 18z run had a high of 95 today.

Just now, weathafella said:

Pivotal gives BOS a foot.  Now it's bed time.

Yup, calling it a night.

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I didn't pay attention to 12Z-was in a meeting and forgot about it.  But once the nipple resolves the low goes  east of the cape and loops back to a position a little closer but just off PVD before moving out.  

The end result is not much changed from 12z.  Ray looks to do a bit better.  Nice hit for BOS metro.

At first glance at hr 12 it looks like the Euro should be west of the 12z run.

7 minutes ago, CCHurricane said:

Odd, Pivotal is significantly different along the east coast of MA. Something is off...

Pivotal seems to always have a problem with the snow map for the crazy uncle.  Not sure why that is.

My temp hasn't budged for at least the last 6 hours.

Hopefully the UK is a precursor to the Euro.

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

And when I say crusher, my apologies but I'm nearly always referring to mby unless I state otherwise.

Lol, yeah, Kevin won't like it.

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

I think they wait until the entire suite is in and will like update around 3am.

I doubt the Euro at this stage is going to be the outlier, but I could be wrong.