vortmax
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Everything posted by vortmax
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15:1 or more...dang...that's a lot of snow. Although the NW ticks are getting a little disconcerting.
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The magnitude of cold air, especially with the warm lakes, can cause some really exotic weather. This will be exciting to experience.
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Still looking good. Any more wound up and it could get messy.
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I think the TV mets should be quite wary of talking totals this early...I would be, at least.
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That's waaay off from the other models for 12z Sun...yikes. Would like to see the UK reconcile it's differences!
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They'll probably wait until the 1st storm is within the CONUS and models run a time or 2...my guess.
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That's great...gonna cause an EC member meltdown.
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Bring it. I'm amping the kids up for a big weekend storm so it'd better be good!
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Now that you press it, I do remember a 'late' blizzard warning issued for the ROC area about halfway through the storm.
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I remember these storms... Basically 2 strong waves along a frontal boundary. No blizzard warnings but epic nonetheless. First wave started as heavy rain.
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Wonder how much the global models are picking up on LE for the south shore. ROC usually gets a few extra inches in cold NE flow setups like this - especially with a warmer than normal lake.
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We're quite fine with that positioning! With that, it will likely change as models resolve. Anyone have the 12z EC?
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Someone in Toronto or Kingston is manipulating the model! lol
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German Model?
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We're pretty close to the lake in Ontario (about 2-3 miles) and don't have much on the ground, but snowed all night with a lot of wind. I'd imagine about 10 miles in the white stuff is piling up. The radar really quieted up in the past hour or so...did we lose moisture? Winds look to be veering as well.
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Lot better look than last month this time. Seems the pattern/teleconnections have shifted enough to start spawning potentials. Game on.
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I don't know the entire story, but the situation sounded way overblown.
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Looks like good returns over the Monroe cty.
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Looks like a lightning bolt!
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The ground is already white here.
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CISK - Conditional Instability of the Second Kind...lol
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Looks like paste.
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King City radar is looking better... https://weather.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=wkr
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Interestingly enough, the GFS, IIRC, does a pretty good job at predicting these big storms/signals well in advance. Sandy, 93 are two examples that the 'American' model grabbed on to a week in advance. Granted, this is way more than a week, but keep watching!
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I think it'll be a bit more NW as well as significantly longer-duration and quasi stationary.
