RUNNAWAYICEBERG
-
Posts
32,012 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG
-
This could be good…. -
Looks all SS again with the NS stronger with confluence and not phasing in.
-
It would be nice to kick feet up, chew some gummies, and micro analyze if we get 6” or 16”…and not rain or mangled flakes at 34F.
-
To extent though yea Steve…every event has a degree of needle threading but I think some more than others depending on airmass and other features.
-
I don’t think so. Good locked in airmass equates to less threading, more wiggle room.
-
Lol. Needle threader…
-
Nice move back se but we’ll need it to keep coming. I’ve noticed the eps/euro likes to swing from nw to se and back nw with each cycle as it gradually swings between the goalposts. The direction of 0z will be helpful to determine if this has any legs for SoP.
-
I think any global op that runs 4x per day acts like an ensemble member anyway so you’ll get wide variations at long lead times. Then, as we hone in those variations tighten up but that’s precisely the time we begin sweating the micro details..so any small deviation is magnified.
-
What is interesting is that it’s all southern stream. The NS never phases in.
-
Yup. Nice to look at but a precarious needle threader, such an outcome is a long shot. Euro/eps would have to fail miserably too.
-
Yay gfs. If only…
-
Patiently waiting for Brooklyn's beautiful late feb h5 ens maps.
-
Yea man, it’s exhausting from a tracking perspective and it’s depressing for the weenies in us.
-
Yea SOP is standard operating procedure so I try to use SoP for South of Pike…
-
The good thing is with how fast it is moving, there won’t be any flooding concerns.
-
Euro north and warm, expected. Nice cold rain for SoP.
-
Basically He is calling for a NNE hit.
-
PSM = portsmith nh PWM = portland me
-
Gefs members aren’t too bad but the fact the generally weak and ots the op typically is at this lead time could be a red flag the zonked SoP members are just model porn and nothing else.
-
Yup. PF is lurking in the bushes smiling…
-
Fyp but It is what it is. I never bought into this thread the needle potential anyways. We’ll need brooklyns epic h5 pattern to produce a pd3 monster or its almost time to dim the lights and close the curtains…
-
I thought you were rooting against yourself for once so the southies make up ground to enhance your seasonal verification scores?
-
Congrats Ray and friends.
