I get what you’re saying but, to me, it’s more so about good patterns on typically strong mid to long range models vaporizing before us which has increased/added the anxiety on each short to mid range event trending more unfavorably.
I don’t like but it’s expected at this juncture so I’ll just take whatever scraps are leftover...gather them into one pile, and marinate in it until spring.
At least 11/12 there wasn’t much to track. Just closed the shades easily without a second peek. This winter has been a constant opening and closing of the shades on practically a daily basis peeking frantically...to no avail.
A gfs or cmc run or two won’t sway me from thinking this is still a weak event for the southern counties. More liquid then frozen. Better idea if this is a trend or an over correction come tomorrow.