RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Are you thinking the 60-70mph gusts forecasts for BDL are overdone?

Getting after it, thataboy.

You don't need it.

Yea. You folks out there are in for it regardless.

Looks like most sims today are weaker and not as tucked.

55/55 with 1.94in storm total. Highest gust recorded, 22mph.

Wife and kids trying to wake dad as an oak crushes his truck but that IPA before bedtime really did him in.

And you’ll be asleep…

You’re reading it wrong. “Coastal areas including nyc” max gusts 40-60. That includes spots like BDR. The higher and possibly damaging winds are LI and SECT. They did a poor job writing that out though.

Looks on track. BDR gusting to 44 is hitting the low end of the max gusts so far.

GL man.

No changes with our overnight package. 30-40mph gusts for the 84 corridor and nw. Higher se towards the coast. 2-4” of rain with local lollies.

SE zones are in for a strong one.

A wet wind storm is fun? If you can take the kids outside and weenie out in it, let me know.

So why would we want that?

For Ditty as his wife tucks him in tonight reading his favorite bedtime story:

Start at 55 and adjust to 65 after a beer. Then crank it to 75 after two beers while hovering over the toilet.

Shave it back some as usual and you get our 30-40mph inland gusts forecast. Widespread 50-60mph as far back to Newburgh ain’t happening.

DIT's locations: BDL in the summer, ORH in the winter, and now GON for coastal wind storms? .SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... The main low center offshore begins to shift more northerly during Tuesday in response to a negatively tilted 500mb trough shifting from the Great Lakes to the Ohio Valley. Moderate to heavy rainfall continues in the morning along the inverted trough, which will more likely be near southern and western portions of the forecast area. CAPE diminishes, so the thunderstorm threat lowers early on. Rain potential in the afternoon is somewhat more uncertain as there is the chance that the inverted trough shifts only slightly south of us while it becomes more west-east oriented. It still looks though that periods of rain will be likely in the afternoon and probably not as heavy as in the morning. Winds should increase Tuesday afternoon as the main low strengthens east of the 40N/70W benchmark and 950mb winds increase 45-55 kt. Winds should then increase further Tuesday night with a tightening pressure gradient over the area. Have not made any changes to the Wind Advisory at this time. There remains some uncertainty regarding the onset and placement of potential advisory-level gusts with a chance that wind funneling down the Long Island Sound could have adjacent shores ending up with winds higher than currently forecast during the daytime hours. It`s also possible that wind gusts to 40 mph don`t begin until nighttime in the areas currently under an advisory. Even if winds do not reach criteria during Tuesday afternoon, chances of downed trees and limbs could be enhanced by wet leaves and saturated grounds. Generally speaking for Tuesday and Tuesday night, sustained winds 20- 30 mph expected for the coastal zones with gusts 40-45 mph, and some areas reaching 50 mph.

Congrats SEMA and EMA.

I'm actually thinking 30-40mph gusts away from the coast with a rogue roar near select inland weenies.

Yea, it does look low near the water. They can always adjust the life threatening winds upwards by 50kts for inland areas with the evening package.