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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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No doubt my man. I have to send my newsletter to my fam and friends later today and I usually give them a lean at d4 with potential big ones. We mention the possibilities, of course, but I always try to lean a certain way. Either they berate me on Saturday and refuse to give me a plate at the next holiday party or they give me two plates and allow me to eat before the women and children.
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I tracked Feb13 from NC lol. That's how sick I am, as most of us are. But yea, but if you remember there was also runs that jacked NJ. I think we set have set the goalposts here though. For us, it could be historic or a glancing blow while out east has more room for historic outcomes. That's climo though and that's why sticking out into the path of ocean storms sets up well.
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If we take our weenies out of our hands though, we can see this doesn't have that much more room to go left and considering captures tend to happen, in non ATL blocked flows, more NE than modeled, this favors the east. It just does. Not saying WOR can't get in on this at all but Jan15 is certainly knocking on our doors. My lean as of now is a Feb13/Jan15 hybrid wrt snowfall distribution (not amounts). DISCLAIMER: Plenty of time to go. I'm simply hedging as a hobbyist.
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It is like that, good analogy. Yea, another 48hrs of runs should give us a better picture but it doubt it can go any further west than 0z euro which everyone notes will most likely be too amped. I’m leaning towards a graze for us but it’s not like we are 48hr out…an eternity to go still. For now, make sure your locks are in good order and bring up the padded walls from your basement storage.