Nah, no one is giving up. It’s all gravy. I’m confident in plowable here, confident Ditty loses his bet to Stevie with one storm (before March), and confident my yapping on a good closing and patience preaching for SNE is coming to fruition.
8-12” would be great but look at the inflow on gfs, it’s EOR for the best stuff. WCT gets the initial thump then it’s pretty much ip/snizzle while out east get it on the ccb. Just calling it how I see the run. No meh no emotion…
Can the gfs be too warm? Sure.
108hr is -5c at 925, 27F at surface so there must be funky warmth in there somewhere if we’re IP. I’m getting ahead of myself micro analyzing it though so you’re right…let’s get the blocking to keep trending or hold serve first until we are inside D3.
The initial thump turned to IP was good and then the backside norlun type snows was nice. Some messy mix in between probably cut it back some but it ended up fine. I hate to rely on backside fanny snows but we’ll cross that bridge in 2-3 days.
Not that good for the southern half of CT but just one run. Regardless, I mentioned to pope earlier this morning the hedge is for a CNE max hit, not mid atl. We’ll see though.