RedSky
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Everything posted by RedSky
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Swapping Xmas with groundhog day makes perfect sense. The groundhog script can read will there be six weeks of winter.
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GFS has highs in the 20's the 24th-25th and CMC is in the 30's
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Going yellow jacket hunting today, only spotted flies and skeeters yesterday wish me luck
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December 2021 Medium/Long Range Discussion Thread
RedSky replied to North Balti Zen's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Hilarious I did it but not that way
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Biggest issue is moisture transport it's been a dry pattern for three months. Copious moisture has had us luck into snow in many a recent above normal temperature winters.
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I embedded a twitter finally it only took 70 tries and still not sure how i did it lol
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If JTA66 lived in Iowa today
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But boring none the less with < average snow and one storm of 6" in March. Back then I wanted big ones like in 83, 78 or 79 lol It was a 2009'ish winter
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Growing signal the blocking is legit and a seasonable to below normal temperature Holiday period is coming. The missing ingredient is southern jet moisture. * Not asking for much can a man get a 2" clipper or over running event the low sun angle will keep it around for a week
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Going back to 1995 all Christmas days with a high of freezing or below went on to be good winters. Different story the previous 25 years, almost a pattern there.
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I like 1983 with the 8F and a boring winter followed
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Btw that was highs in the 20's Xmas day when is the last time it was that cold
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ECM gives an empiric victory this morning with an ice cold Christmas Eve and day
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My opinion on the new and improved CMC after what it showed yesterday and how about the massive changes in the GFS from 6z to 12z
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It's called unbridled enthusiasm, one step from delusions of grandeur
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Feels too rushed a reversal from the Pacific dominated pattern to get significant snow. If the blocking is real I would guess closer to New Years.
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So January's +1 in 67 killed it on closer examination.
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Parents moved into their new house in the north Philly burbs in 66 and my mom use to talk about that first bad winter. I was recently looking at the snow events that winter for Allentown from November through March and my thoughts were it was very much like 95-96, but worse because it was a much colder winter. Not born yet I really missed a good one, no doubt winter of yore material and much deserved.
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^ East based NAO retreating arctic high and low in the lakes ECM long range not the Christmas miracle your looking for.
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So far the wind is not impressive.
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Nasty squall line crossed and it's roaring in the distance
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Lakes and ponds froze here last February a solid winter month.
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I was unemployed, drunk and possibly in a Clarke Griswold mood so if they are found don't judge harshly bro
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I do have pictures it's a matter of finding em
