RedSky
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NWS forecast for a chance of snow after 1pm Sunday is giving a clue. These often start faster than projected and with less virga, we may get snow in here before dark Sunday. Thinking snow on Sunday from 3pm-9pm with obviously earlier changeover the further SE you go.
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We should get a 3rd significant winter storm during the last week of January which would make it a good winter month.
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The tracking has been a tedious affair with this one. We don't get many of these inland huggers the last twenty years.
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First it was headed to Harrisburg but now Johnstown? I'm out
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Greater than 50mph winds before an arctic outbreak is a bad idea
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All the usual graupel sleet mix to rain would apply before the dry slot
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ECM ensemble median track is up I95 this things a commuter.. JMA is a snow bomb off the coast fwiw
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In other news a very cold January like this in La Nina is bordering on the absurd
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That's exactly how it would be a 3 to 8" base of cement with the deep cold following, death race tubing
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12z ECM end result delivers 5-10" in the N&W burbs to a foot in the Lehigh Valley. Big time first half thump then dryslot. I'll take.
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Important lesson learned is never trust a hoochie mama they will break your heart
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Two bad trends 1) the main shortwave slowed which allowed the arctic high to retreat just enough 2) stronger northern shortwave assists pulling it north. You win some and you lose most that's why we don't average 80" snow. I better not finish with 3.2" snow in a January that is seven degrees below normal.. yeah not happening .
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9F Deep winter
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The ECM ensembles like the others say relax
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Still laughing at DT saying the GFS is a complete pile of steaming $#%#@ for running the storm inland then out comes the euro...
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It's a good snow to mix/ice a little rain battleground back to snow for the Lehigh Valley
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50F for Philly with rain fits the category of "screw"
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DR NO
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GFS has another and another and has us partying like it's 2014
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The median of the GFS ensembles is right where you want it, no complaints
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CMC is a hugger it's growing more interesting by the minute
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Yup I did, and some weather luver wanted to cop out and say it was another storm lol
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This is the ECM fish storm yesterday
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